Category Archives: Inflation

Should TIPS holders root for higher inflation?

Interesting article today in the Wall Street Journal, with the enticing headline: ‘TIPS Investors Rush for Exit.’ Here’s the premise: A surprise drop in gasoline prices has jolted a corner of the bond market, easing investors’ inflation fears and triggering … Continue reading

Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS | 1 Comment

U.S. inflation fell 0.2% in March

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported this morning that ‘headline’ inflation – the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) – fell 0.2% in March on a seasonally-adjusted basis, partly reversing the sharp 0.7% increase in February. That means … Continue reading

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Higher gas prices pushed consumer inflation up 0.6% in September

The Labor Department today reported that ‘headline’ inflation – the measure used to adjust the principal on TIPS and the interest rate on I Bonds – rose a strong 0.6% in September, the second strong increase in two months. Read … Continue reading

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Are TIPS a good investment in 2012?

I get that question a lot. My quickest reaction is: ‘No.’ Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities were a really good investment back in 1999, when you could have bought a 30-year TIPS with a yield to maturity of 4.138% – that means … Continue reading

Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS | 14 Comments

An update on U.S. inflation: Nowhere to be found

I was out of town last week and didn’t get a chance to write about the U.S. inflation rate in July, which was unchanged from June, in other words … zero inflation in July. This is the ‘headline’ inflation rate … Continue reading

Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS | 5 Comments

Bernanke: ‘It is arguable that the interest rates are too high’

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke laid out his argument for super-low interest rates today in an appearance before the House Financial Services Committee. His opening statement included this (insert adjective here) statement on U.S. interest rates: “It is arguable that … Continue reading

Posted in I Bond, Inflation | 2 Comments

Coming Thursday, Aug. 18: Reissue of a 5-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security

We knew this was coming, of course, and today we got the official announcement by the U.S. Treasury. On Thursday, the Treasury will auction a reissue of CUSIP 912828QD5, which was originally issued on April 15, 2011 and matures on April … Continue reading

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Next auction: Reissue of a 5-year TIPS, Aug. 18, 2011

Update: Buy this issue? I say, no. The U.S. Treasury will auction a reissue of a 5-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security on Aug. 18, 2011. It will be interesting to see how much buyer interest this auction can raise. My point … Continue reading

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Fed chairman Bernanke: Inflation is not ‘imminent’

Even though current inflation is running at 3.6% annually, it’s probably true that inflation is going to be held down near-term by a very weak U.S. economy. Here is the Reuters report on the ‘transient’ inflation issue: http://www.reuters.com/resources_v2/flash/video_embed.swf?videoId=216213419 Slower economic … Continue reading

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U.S. inflation is heating up, right?

You might wonder based on conflicting news reports today (June 15),  when the U.S. released its monthly data on consumer prices. From FT.com: Core US consumer prices rose at their fastest rate for five years in May, making it almost … Continue reading

Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS | 4 Comments