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Recent Posts
- U.S. inflation rose 0.4% in December with rise in gas prices
- An I Bond strategy for 2021: Buy them. Whenever. Just do it.
- 5-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of -1.575%, lowest in history for this term
- Heads up: Next week’s 5-year TIPS reopening auction is Tuesday, not Thursday
- U.S. inflation rose 0.2% in November, slightly higher than expected
- I’ll be scaling back (a bit) on posts here
- 10-Year TIPS Reopening Gets A Real Yield Of -0.867%
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Categories
Monthly Archives: July 2019
The Calculation: Why The Social Security COLA Will Sink In 2020
Summary The Social Security Administration uses a complex formula, and an unusual inflation index, to set the annual COLA increase. Once again, the Social Security COLA looks like it will be lower than overall U.S. inflation. (That wasn’t true for … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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This Week’s 10-Year TIPS Auction Spotlights Our ‘New Reality’
Summary The real yield is likely to come in around 0.35%, more than 60 basis points below where these yields started the year. The inflation break-even rate was about 1.77% as of Friday. That might seem low, but it is … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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U.S. Inflation Rose 0.1% In June, Higher Than Expected
Summary The monthly “headline” inflation number and core inflation for the month and year all came in higher than the consensus forecasts. Overall U.S. inflation is being held down by declining gasoline prices, but core inflation is running at 2.1%, … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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U.S. Savings Bonds Are A Surprisingly Attractive Investment Right Now
Summary Both real and nominal yields have plummeted in 2019, with nominal yields on government debt dipping into the negative in Europe and Asia. Returns on I Bonds and EE Bonds still have the same terms that the Treasury set … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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