Monthly Archives: August 2019

Summary The real yield looks likely to come in around 0.46%, down 63 basis points from the originating auction in February. Buyers will be paying a steep premium for the coupon rate of 1.0%, about 15% above par value. The … Continue reading →

Summary The TIP ETF has had a total return of 8.33% so far in 2019, slightly outperforming the overall bond market. Shorter-term TIPS funds have also performed well, but the gain has been less dramatic. A relatively low 10-year inflation … Continue reading →

Summary Both headline and core inflation numbers came in higher than expected, indicating inflation is not ‘dead’ and deflation is not looming. The July number sets a path for a 1.6% to 1.8% increase in the 2020 Social Security cost-of-living … Continue reading →