Monthly Archives: April 2020

Real Yield On New 5-Year TIPS Dips Deeply Negative, At -0.32%

Summary The new Treasury reality is negative real returns and stunningly low inflation expectations. The auction result of a real yield to maturity of -0.320% matched the Treasury’s overnight estimate. The inflation breakeven rate of 0.69% makes this TIPS – … Continue reading

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As 5-Year TIPS Auction Approaches, Real Yields Are On The Move

Summary A new 5-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security — CUSIP 912828ZJ2 — will be created at auction Thursday. This TIPS looks likely to get a real yield to maturity in the range of -0.20% to -0.30%, but a firm prediction is … Continue reading

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Here’s Why The I Bond’s Fixed Rate Will Fall To 0.0% On May 1

Summary Real yields for TIPS are now negative across the entire maturity spectrum: 5-year, 10-year and 30-year. The Treasury has no reason to keep the I Bond’s fixed rate above 0.0% when the 10-year TIPS is yielding -0.50%. Act before … Continue reading

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Inflation Report Sets I Bond’s New Variable Rate At 1.06%

Summary U.S. Series I Savings Bonds purchased before May 1 will pay a composite interest rate of 2.22% for six months, and then 1.26% for six months. I Bonds remain the world’s best inflation-protected investment, especially if you purchase them … Continue reading

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