Summary
- Inflation breakeven rates have been rising fairly steadily since February 2016 and now are in the ‘neutral’ zone of value.
- When inflation breakevens rise, TIPS outperform nominal Treasurys.
- The lower the breakeven rate, the higher the ‘margin of safety’ for TIPS investors versus nominal Treasurys.
The inflation breakeven rate is a very accurate measure of the relative value of TIPS versus nominal Treasurys, and a possible predictor of the relative future performance of the two asset classes.
Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities 
David, thank you for providing such level of detail in this article. This is my first year dealing with taxes…