Author Archives: Tipswatch

About Tipswatch

Author of Tipswatch.com blog, David Enna is a long-time journalist based in Charlotte, N.C. A past winner of two Society of American Business Editors and Writers awards, he has written on real estate and home finance, and was a founding editor of The Charlotte Observer's website.

10-Year TIPS Reopening Gets A Real Yield Of -0.966%, Lowest In History

Summary The real yield of -0.966% was slightly higher than where this TIPS was trading on the secondary market just minutes before the auction’s close. The inflation break-even rate settled in at 1.65%, which looks like a reasonable number. Inflation … Continue reading

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10-Year TIPS: Keep An Eye On The Inflation Breakeven Rate

Summary The 10-year real yield has dipped deeply negative, to nearly 1% below inflation. But that reflects the bond market’s very low nominal yields. This TIPS’ inflation breakeven rate of about 1.67% is still appealing. For the first $10,000 you … Continue reading

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August Inflation: What It Means For Social Security, TIPS And I Bonds

Summary Both all-items inflation (at 0.4%) and core inflation (at 0.4%) were higher than consensus estimates, continuing a recent trend. The August inflation report is signaling a 1.2% increase in the Social Security COLA for 2021, but one more month … Continue reading

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Seeking Yield And Safety? The Best Choice Is U.S. Savings Bonds

Summary EE Bonds will earn a remarkable 3.5% annually if held for 20 years, tax deferred and free of state income taxes. I Bonds will match U.S. inflation with a flexible maturity date and solid protection against deflation. Both of … Continue reading

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30-Year TIPS Reopening Gets First Negative Real Yield In History

Summary The real yield of -0.272% fell about 53 basis points below the yield of the originating auction on February 20. Investors had to pay a huge premium to collect the coupon rate of 0.25%, about $116.32 for about $100.26 … Continue reading

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30-Year TIPS: Poster Child For A ‘Volatile’ Safe Investment

Summary The Treasury will reopen CUSIP 912810SM1 in a Thursday auction, creating a 29-year, 6-month TIPS. The real yield looks likely to be around -0.26%, making this the first TIPS of this term to get a negative real yield. Investors … Continue reading

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July Inflation: What It Means For Social Security, TIPS And I Bonds

Summary In a surprise, July inflation came in much higher than the consensus for both all-items and core inflation. Gas prices again were a big factor. The recent surge in inflation now has the Social Security COLA on track for … Continue reading

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TIP ETF: Inflation Protection, With A Side Of Risk

Summary The overall TIPS market has had a huge run-up of almost 16% since the bond market turmoil of mid-March. The TIP ETF hit a record high of $126.51 last week, but its one-year performance has been in line with … Continue reading

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New 10-Year TIPS Gets Real Yield Of -0.93%, Lowest In History

Summary There have been 104 auctions of this 9- to 10-year term since 1997 and today’s result was a record low yield, by a large margin. The inflation breakeven rate came in at 1.52%, a reasonable number but higher than … Continue reading

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There Are Reasons To Like This New 10-Year TIPS

Summary The real yield for CUSIP 912828ZZ6 could end up around -0.82%, the lowest in the 23-year history of TIPS auctions of this term. Fears of future inflation – spurred by massive monetary and fiscal stimulus programs – should attract … Continue reading

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