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Recent Posts
- Inflation moves higher in October, but annual numbers are missing
- Deflation could be coming (and don’t be surprised)
- My schedule … and what’s coming next
- Treasury sets I Bond’s fixed rate at 1.40%; composite rate rises to 5.51%
- A historically awful 5-year TIPS matured Oct. 15. How did it do as an investment?
- The I Bond’s new fixed rate should be 1.40%. However …
- 5-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.367% on a strong day for Treasurys
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction may be the ‘ultimate’ conservative investment
- September inflation sets I Bond variable rate at 4.08%; Social Security COLA will be 3.6%
- ‘TIPS are for losers’ … Really?
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
PPI numbers are out and... well, that's not good.6.5%, and 5.0% again for PPI Core.Trailing 6 months annualized PPI and…
[…] deflation is rare and is more likely to only last a few months (Tipswatch, 2024). But in the end,…
I would not be surprised to see the both the I-bond fixed rate and the CPI inflation rate to go…
[…] 1.40%. That’s what your bond earns on top of inflation for its whole life, and it’s the highest fixed…
Categories
Category Archives: Federal Reserve
Inflation moves higher in October, but annual numbers are missing
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Last year’s government shutdown in October 2025 came back to haunt us in October 2026. Because of the lack of year-ago data, the Bureau of Labor Statistics was not able to provide an annual rate of … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged economics, economy, finance, inflation, investing
12 Comments
Deflation could be coming (and don’t be surprised)
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Although 2026 could be an exception if fuel prices resume soaring, it is likely we will see at least one month of deflation — measured by non-seasonally adjusted inflation — before the end of the year. … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
10 Comments
My schedule … and what’s coming next
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Happy Election Day! By the time the votes are being counted tonight, I will be on my way to one of my favorite cities, Lisbon, to begin a three-week trip in Portugal and southern Spain. I … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Travel
Tagged investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
14 Comments
Treasury sets I Bond’s fixed rate at 1.40%; composite rate rises to 5.51%
A tip of my hat to the U.S. Treasury. Exactly the correct decision. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The U.S. Treasury followed a decade-long tradition and set the fixed rate of the Series I Savings Bond at 1.40% for purchases from … Continue reading
A historically awful 5-year TIPS matured Oct. 15. How did it do as an investment?
David Enna, Tipswatch.com On October 21, 2021, the Treasury offered $19 billion in a new 5-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security, CUSIP 91282CDC2, generating the lowest real yield at auction in the 29-year history of this investment, -1.685%. These were very dark … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond
Tagged investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
9 Comments
I believe the Fed Governors are planning to work hard to cool this inflation down. In the coming year both…