Category Archives: Investing in TIPS

5-Year TIPS Auction Results In Surprisingly Low Yield

Summary The real yield to maturity of 0.054% was much lower than Treasury estimates at the market close Wednesday. The inflation break-even rate popped up to 1.50%, still low but higher than recent trends. Obviously, this TIPS issue was met … Continue reading

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This Week’s 5-Year TIPS Auction Looks Mildly Interesting

Summary At Friday’s close, the Treasury’s estimate of the real yield of a five-year TIPS stood at 0.25%, a bit higher than recent numbers. At that yield, the five-year inflation break-even rate would come in at 1.34%, an extremely low … Continue reading

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I Bond Investors: Act Now, Don’t Delay

Summary I Bonds issued before November 1 will carry a permanent fixed rate of 0.50%, creating a real return higher than that of a 5-, 10- or 20-year TIPS. The Treasury will reset this fixed rate on November 1, and … Continue reading

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Inflation Report Sets Social Security COLA At 1.6%; I Bond’s Variable Rate Rises To 2.0%

Summary The Social Security COLA of 1.6% for 2020 is well below this year’s increase of 2.8%, reflecting the dip in overall U.S. inflation this year. The variable interest rate for U.S. Series I Savings Bonds will rise to 2.0% … Continue reading

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10-Year TIPS Reopening Gets Real Yield Of 0.174%, Lowest In 3 Years

Summary Real yields are near Treasury-estimate lows for 2019, but have popped slightly higher in recent weeks. Today’s auction yield of 0.174% meant that investors had to pay a premium to get a 0.250% after-inflation coupon rate. The inflation breakeven … Continue reading

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Avoid This Week’s 10-Year TIPS Reopening

Summary The real yield to maturity looks likely to come in at around 0.22%, well below the yields of 10 months ago. The inflation breakeven rate is currently running at 1.68%, a low number that should draw interest in this … Continue reading

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August Inflation: What It Means For Social Security, TIPS And I Bonds

Summary Headline inflation numbers matched the consensus forecast, but core inflation ran higher than expected. Gasoline prices were down, moderating overall inflation. With one month of data remaining, the Social Security COLA looks likely to increase 1.6% to 1.8% for … Continue reading

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