Summary
- Both headline and core inflation numbers fell short of consensus estimates.
- Gasoline prices fell 0.5% in May, following a 5.7% increase in April. Gas prices could be a deflationary force in coming months.
- May’s mild inflation report leaves the door wide open for the Federal Reserve to begin cuts in short-term interest rates.
This report looks like good news for the stock and bond markets, because it reinforces the Federal Reserve’s likely plan to begin lowering short-term interest rates, possibly twice in 2019. The first cut could come next week, or possibly in July.

One oddity of TreasuryDirect is that it will always list opening and reopening purchases of same TIPS separately, even when…