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Recent Posts
- A 5-year TIPS is maturing April 15. How did it do as an investment?
- I Bond’s fixed rate is likely to hold at 0.90% at May 1 reset
- War in Iran: Sliding toward a financial crisis
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 1.896%
- Chaos of war bolsters 10-year real yield heading into this week’s auction
- February inflation rose 0.3%, as expected. Is this our last ‘tame’ reading for awhile?
- Could Tipswatch.com be staffed by AI agents?
- Economist Claudia Sahm: U.S. economic statistics are not being manipulated
- 30-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.473%, second highest in 16 years
- For the right investor, this week’s 30-year TIPS auction will have appeal
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Most likely the TIPS will outperform the I Bond over 5 years, if held to maturity. The 5-year TIPS currently…
David, there is a 5-year TIPS coming up April 23 that I assume you will be writing about. Could you…
Thanks for the detailed explanation. I believe you are saying the "breakeven inflation rate" should reflect the inflation expectation rather…
I am definitely not a fan of purchasing TIPS with negative real yields. My goal is to get a safe…
Categories
Author Archives: Tipswatch
A 10-year TIPS matured Jan. 15. How did it do as an investment?
CUSIP 912828SA9 was the first-ever 10-year TIPS to auction with a negative real yield. Still, it ended up out-performing its nominal counterpart. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com On January 15, 2022, a 10-year TIPS — CUSIP 912828SA9 — matured. It was … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS
7 Comments
10-year TIPS auction: Real yields are rising
Thursday’s auction of a new 10-year TIPS will get a real yield nearly 50 basis points higher than a similar auction in November. But is that enough? By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The U.S. Treasury will offer a new 10-year Treasury … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
8 Comments
Podcast: ‘The Inflation Guy’ explains the December inflation report
“The Fed is in a real pickle. … Being on the tightening side of monetary policy is no fun.” Here is this week’s “Cents and Sensibility” podcast from inflation guru Michael Ashton. I am a big fan of this podcast … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation
2 Comments
U.S. inflation surged 7.0% in 2021, the highest rate in 40 years
December all-items inflation increased 0.5%, slightly higher than expectations. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com This seemed impossible just 12 months ago, when U.S. inflation ran at 1.4% for 2020. But December’s price increases continued an ominous trend in 2021, with annual … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
16 Comments
It’s happening: Real yields are starting to rise
In one week, real yields have increased as much as 30 basis points. Will this trend continue? Yes, if the Fed continues on its current course. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com In the last week, the U.S. bond market seems to … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
3 Comments
Dongchen, I always say that the inflation breakeven rate reflects sentiment but is a fairly lousy predictor of future inflation.…