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Recent Posts
- 5-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.433% to solid demand
- U.S. annual inflation falls to 2.7% for November, a surprising drop
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction still looks solid
- The bond market isn’t buying the Fed’s rate cuts
- Morningstar says VTIP is having a ‘lousy’ year. It’s not true.
- Car-buying in the age of tariffs
- ‘Synthetic’ calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October
- Bad news: Medicare costs for 2026 are surging at triple the rate of inflation
- ‘Bond King’ has a dire view of long-term Treasurys
- 10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.843% to lukewarm demand
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Hmm, so if one was convinced these numbers will have a future correction upward, undoing the TIPS principal balance drop…
Because of the government shutdown, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) didn't have new data, so they just "carried forward"…
The data is a mess. And may God help the people who make it right.
Healthcare is one of the biggest drivers of inflation. The fact that it is excluded from CPI just shows why…
Categories
Category Archives: Federal Reserve
As government shuts down, Trump jettisons his choice to lead BLS
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It’s Day One of the U.S. government shutdown, and the crucially important, non-partisan Bureau of Labor Statistics now has one working employee: acting commissioner William Wiatrowski. The other 2,054 employees have been (or will soon be) … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Retirement, Social Security, Taxes
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, politics
54 Comments
U.S. government shutdown: What does it mean?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The U.S. government is highly likely to shut down on Wednesday, with the beginning of a new fiscal year. This is political theater, and the real danger is that the leading actors are both Republicans and … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Medicare, Retirement, Social Security, Treasury Bills
23 Comments
10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.734% to weak demand
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com One day after the Federal Reserve acted to lower short-term interest rates, the Treasury’s offering of $19 billion in a reopened 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security — CUSIP 91282CNS6 — drew surprisingly weak demand from investors. The … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Tariffs
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, investing, personal-finance, stocks
18 Comments
U.S. inflation rose 0.4% in August, higher than expected
Annual all-items inflation rose to 2.9%, the highest level since January By David Enna, Tipswatch.com In what could be a crucially important report, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today that seasonally adjusted U.S. inflation rose 0.4% in August, higher … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement, Social Security, Tariffs
Tagged investing, personal-finance
23 Comments
When rates decline, I Bonds get more attractive
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Last week, I noticed something very interesting: The real yield of the most recent 5-year TIPS fell on the secondary market at one point to 1.08% and closed the week at 1.10%. CUSIP 91282CNB3 had its … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond, Treasury Bills
Tagged Federal Reserve, Treasury investments
28 Comments
David, with all due respect, facts are better, e.g "but not massive." Really! Don't have to be a political appointee...look…