Hmm, so if one was convinced these numbers will have a future correction upward, undoing the TIPS principal balance drop…
Because of the government shutdown, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) didn't have new data, so they just "carried forward"…
The data is a mess. And may God help the people who make it right.
Healthcare is one of the biggest drivers of inflation. The fact that it is excluded from CPI just shows why…
Category Archives: Federal Reserve
Forecast: I Bond’s fixed rate is likely to fall to 0.90%
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com In two months, probably on Halloween morning, the Treasury will announce a new fixed rate, inflation-adjusted variable rate and composite rate for U.S. Series I Savings Bonds purchased from November 2025 to April 2026. And I … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond
Tagged investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
34 Comments
A historical look at political influence over the BLS
The BLS over time: ‘A tin can tied to my coat tail‘ This article is republished by permission of the authors. By Philippa Dunne & Doug Henwood / TLR Analytics We have worked closely with the Bureau of Labor Statistics … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Tariffs
Tagged BLS, Employment
17 Comments
U.S. annual inflation held steady in July at 2.7%, better than expected
Core inflation, however, rose to 3.1% annually despite moderating shelter costs. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The July inflation report offered a mixed bag of results. Seasonally adjusted all-items inflation increased 0.2% for the month, as expected, and held steady at … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Tariffs
Tagged interest-rates, personal-finance
27 Comments
Let’s offer praise for high interest rates
Do you agree? Probably not. But high interest rates benefit savers. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Let’s step back in time, to 1965: I was 12 years old and folks from a nearby Savings and Loan came into my classroom to … Continue reading
Posted in Bank CDs, Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, Inflation, Retirement, Treasury Bills
36 Comments
New 10-year TIPS gets real yield of 1.985% to solid investor demand
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The Treasury’s largest 10-year TIPS auction in history got a warm welcome from investors, generating a real yield to maturity of 1.985% — a bit below expectations, an indication of solid demand. The auction size was … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
Tagged interest-rates, investing, personal-finance
10 Comments
Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities 
David, with all due respect, facts are better, e.g "but not massive." Really! Don't have to be a political appointee...look…