-
-
Recent Posts
- 5-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.433% to solid demand
- U.S. annual inflation falls to 2.7% for November, a surprising drop
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction still looks solid
- The bond market isn’t buying the Fed’s rate cuts
- Morningstar says VTIP is having a ‘lousy’ year. It’s not true.
- Car-buying in the age of tariffs
- ‘Synthetic’ calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October
- Bad news: Medicare costs for 2026 are surging at triple the rate of inflation
- ‘Bond King’ has a dire view of long-term Treasurys
- 10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.843% to lukewarm demand
-
Links
-
- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
David, with all due respect, facts are better, e.g "but not massive." Really! Don't have to be a political appointee...look…
Hmm, so if one was convinced these numbers will have a future correction upward, undoing the TIPS principal balance drop…
Because of the government shutdown, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) didn't have new data, so they just "carried forward"…
The data is a mess. And may God help the people who make it right.
Categories
Category Archives: Inflation
TreasuryDirect email is an omen of coming changes
Again, a prod to deliver gift-box savings bonds. Quickly. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Savings Bond investors who are holding I Bonds in “gift-box” storage are getting emails from TreasuryDirect this week advising them to deliver the bonds to the intended … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, I Bond, Inflation, Retirement, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
84 Comments
I Bond rate reset: We’re heading toward chaos
Oct. 24 update: September inflation report sets I Bond variable rate at 3.12% Oct. 12 update: I Bond fixed rate projection just fell to 0.90% Oct. 10, 2025 update: The Trump administration has allowed the BLS to recall staff to prepare … Continue reading
As government shuts down, Trump jettisons his choice to lead BLS
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It’s Day One of the U.S. government shutdown, and the crucially important, non-partisan Bureau of Labor Statistics now has one working employee: acting commissioner William Wiatrowski. The other 2,054 employees have been (or will soon be) … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Retirement, Social Security, Taxes
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, politics
54 Comments
10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.734% to weak demand
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com One day after the Federal Reserve acted to lower short-term interest rates, the Treasury’s offering of $19 billion in a reopened 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security — CUSIP 91282CNS6 — drew surprisingly weak demand from investors. The … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Tariffs
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, investing, personal-finance, stocks
18 Comments
10-year TIPS reopening will mark a shift in yields
Are we entering an era of lower real returns? By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The U.S. Treasury on Thursday will auction $19 billion in a reopened 10-year TIPS, CUSIP 91282CNS6. This will be a notable auction because the real yield to … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement, TreasuryDirect
Tagged investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
18 Comments
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/18/trust-these-numbers-economists-see-a-lot-of-flaws-in-delayed-cpi-report-showing-downward-inflation.html "The BLS might have carried forward prices in some categories, effectively assuming 0% inflation...” So the shutdown was just…