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Recent Posts
- A 5-year TIPS is maturing April 15. How did it do as an investment?
- I Bond’s fixed rate is likely to hold at 0.90% at May 1 reset
- War in Iran: Sliding toward a financial crisis
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 1.896%
- Chaos of war bolsters 10-year real yield heading into this week’s auction
- February inflation rose 0.3%, as expected. Is this our last ‘tame’ reading for awhile?
- Could Tipswatch.com be staffed by AI agents?
- Economist Claudia Sahm: U.S. economic statistics are not being manipulated
- 30-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.473%, second highest in 16 years
- For the right investor, this week’s 30-year TIPS auction will have appeal
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Most likely the TIPS will outperform the I Bond over 5 years, if held to maturity. The 5-year TIPS currently…
David, there is a 5-year TIPS coming up April 23 that I assume you will be writing about. Could you…
Thanks for the detailed explanation. I believe you are saying the "breakeven inflation rate" should reflect the inflation expectation rather…
I am definitely not a fan of purchasing TIPS with negative real yields. My goal is to get a safe…
Categories
Category Archives: Inflation
U.S. inflation surged 7.0% in 2021, the highest rate in 40 years
December all-items inflation increased 0.5%, slightly higher than expectations. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com This seemed impossible just 12 months ago, when U.S. inflation ran at 1.4% for 2020. But December’s price increases continued an ominous trend in 2021, with annual … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
16 Comments
It’s happening: Real yields are starting to rise
In one week, real yields have increased as much as 30 basis points. Will this trend continue? Yes, if the Fed continues on its current course. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com In the last week, the U.S. bond market seems to … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
3 Comments
I Bonds: A very simple buying guide for 2022
May 2, 2022 update: Treasury holds I Bond’s fixed rate at 0.0%; composite rate soars to 9.62%. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com My usual beginning-of-the-year buying guide for U.S. Series I Savings Bonds has a lot of qualifications and “what ifs,” … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation
100 Comments
2021: Recapping the year in inflation-protected investments
TIPS remained rather unappealing the entire year, while I Bonds became a superstar investment. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Here is how I can sum up this monumental year of change: January 2021: “Inflation will never be a problem again.” December … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond
24 Comments
U.S. inflation surged 0.8% in November, as prices rise at the highest rate in 39 years
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com This time, the economists just about got it right. The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.8% in November on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond
7 Comments
Dongchen, I always say that the inflation breakeven rate reflects sentiment but is a fairly lousy predictor of future inflation.…