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Recent Posts
- March inflation sets I Bond’s new variable rate at 3.34%
- A 5-year TIPS is maturing April 15. How did it do as an investment?
- I Bond’s fixed rate is likely to hold at 0.90% at May 1 reset
- War in Iran: Sliding toward a financial crisis
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 1.896%
- Chaos of war bolsters 10-year real yield heading into this week’s auction
- February inflation rose 0.3%, as expected. Is this our last ‘tame’ reading for awhile?
- Could Tipswatch.com be staffed by AI agents?
- Economist Claudia Sahm: U.S. economic statistics are not being manipulated
- 30-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.473%, second highest in 16 years
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
I wouldn’t have wished for a war with Iran or a spike in oil/ energy prices. I have no control…
If you wait to October, what if you find out by then that the rate will go down because they…
It definitely caused at least a small reduction in six-month inflation. What's amazing is if the United States didn't attack…
That plug in number for November because of the government shutdown makes me feel a bit shortchanged with the variable…
Categories
Category Archives: Investing in TIPS
My schedule … and what’s coming up
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com By the time you read this, I will be arriving in Thessaloniki, Greece, to begin a 3-week jaunt across northern Greece, Albania, and North Macedonia. This is the land of Zeus and Alexander the Great, but … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
10 Comments
10-year TIPS reopening auction should get best real yield in 14 years
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com This year, for the first time, I’ve soured on buying Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities at auction. Why? Because real yields have often come in a bit below “predicted” market value. That’s been especially true of the 10-year … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
17 Comments
U.S. inflation rose 0.6% in August; what does it mean for TIPS, I Bonds and Social Security?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com As expected, rising gasoline prices pushed U.S. inflation higher in August, rising a seasonally-adjusted 0.6% for the month and increasing 3.7% year-over-year, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Core inflation, which removes food and energy, … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement, Social Security
15 Comments
‘Inflation Guy’ explains seasonal adjustment (or lack thereof)
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com I often caution readers about “non-seasonally adjusted inflation” and how it can create confusion and even distress as it sometimes skews away from headline inflation, the number you see reported each month. Non-seasonally adjusted inflation is … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
20 Comments
Question: What is a ‘normal’ real yield?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com One of the very first Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities I ever bought — CUSIP 912810FH6 — was auctioned on April 7, 1999, with a real yield to maturity of 3.899% and a coupon rate of 3.875%. I … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Investing in TIPS
11 Comments
This is a tough call. We could be heading toward stagflation, which would mean higher inflation and slower economic growth.…