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Recent Posts
- 5-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.433% to solid demand
- U.S. annual inflation falls to 2.7% for November, a surprising drop
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction still looks solid
- The bond market isn’t buying the Fed’s rate cuts
- Morningstar says VTIP is having a ‘lousy’ year. It’s not true.
- Car-buying in the age of tariffs
- ‘Synthetic’ calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October
- Bad news: Medicare costs for 2026 are surging at triple the rate of inflation
- ‘Bond King’ has a dire view of long-term Treasurys
- 10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.843% to lukewarm demand
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Hmm, so if one was convinced these numbers will have a future correction upward, undoing the TIPS principal balance drop…
Because of the government shutdown, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) didn't have new data, so they just "carried forward"…
The data is a mess. And may God help the people who make it right.
Healthcare is one of the biggest drivers of inflation. The fact that it is excluded from CPI just shows why…
Categories
Category Archives: Medicare
Bad news: Medicare costs for 2026 are surging at triple the rate of inflation
Part B costs, deductibles and IRMAA surcharges will all increase at least 9.7% next year. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It was bad enough when we learned on Oct. 24 that Social Security benefits would increase 2.8% for beneficiaries in 2026, … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Medicare, Retirement, Social Security, Taxes
Tagged health-insurance, healthcare, insurance, Medicare, Retirement
32 Comments
U.S. government shutdown: What does it mean?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The U.S. government is highly likely to shut down on Wednesday, with the beginning of a new fiscal year. This is political theater, and the real danger is that the leading actors are both Republicans and … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Medicare, Retirement, Social Security, Treasury Bills
23 Comments
Forecast: Social Security COLA for 2026 should be around 2.8%
Of course, this forecast, and every other one you read, may be wrong. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It’s July, and that means it is time for my annual adventure trying to forecast next year’s Social Security cost-of-living adjustment. I’m usually … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Medicare, Retirement, Social Security
11 Comments
No tax on Social Security benefits? Not quite true.
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com I sometimes watch too much CNN (stop me!) and on Thursday I heard Republican members of Congress repeatedly state that the just-approved Big Beautiful Bill would eliminate the tax on Social Security benefits, fulfilling a campaign … Continue reading
Posted in Medicare, Retirement, Social Security, Taxes
Tagged finance, personal-finance, politics, Social Security, Taxes
77 Comments
My schedule, and what’s coming next
Plus, a few other thoughts on a changing Treasury market. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Long-time readers of this site know what that headline signals: I am on the move. Over the next 3+ weeks I will be traveling in Argentina … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Medicare, Retirement, Social Security, Taxes
18 Comments
David, with all due respect, facts are better, e.g "but not massive." Really! Don't have to be a political appointee...look…