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Recent Posts
- 5-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.433% to solid demand
- U.S. annual inflation falls to 2.7% for November, a surprising drop
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction still looks solid
- The bond market isn’t buying the Fed’s rate cuts
- Morningstar says VTIP is having a ‘lousy’ year. It’s not true.
- Car-buying in the age of tariffs
- ‘Synthetic’ calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October
- Bad news: Medicare costs for 2026 are surging at triple the rate of inflation
- ‘Bond King’ has a dire view of long-term Treasurys
- 10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.843% to lukewarm demand
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Hmm, so if one was convinced these numbers will have a future correction upward, undoing the TIPS principal balance drop…
Because of the government shutdown, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) didn't have new data, so they just "carried forward"…
The data is a mess. And may God help the people who make it right.
Healthcare is one of the biggest drivers of inflation. The fact that it is excluded from CPI just shows why…
Categories
Tag Archives: bonds
It’s going to be a big week for I Bonds
Oct. 31 update: Treasury sets I Bond’s fixed rate at 1.20%, composite rate falls to 3.11% By David Enna, Tipswatch.com By Thursday (or possibly Friday) we are going to get a lot of new information about U.S. Series I Savings … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged bonds, personal-finance, Treasury investments
56 Comments
New 5-year TIPS gets a real yield of 1.670% to potentially lukewarm demand
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The Treasury’s offering of $24 billion in a new 5-year TIPS, CUSIP 91282CLV1, auctioned today with a real yield to maturity of 1.670%, the lowest for this term since April 2023. This one is a bit … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
Tagged bonds, economy, finance, inflation, investing, investment, personal-finance, TIPS, Treasury investments
11 Comments
What about Thursday’s auction of a new 5-year TIPS?
Real yields are holding up, but the curve is widening. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The October auction of a new 5-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security is always a baffler. The auctioned real yield is highly likely to be lower than many … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
Tagged bonds, inflation, investing, personal-finance, TIPS
20 Comments
Forecast: The next I Bond fixed rate should be 1.20%
But there is danger of an ‘outlier’ decision by the Treasury. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It’s already Oct. 7 and we are closing in on Treasury’s November reset of the fixed and variable rates for U.S. Series I Savings Bonds. … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged bonds, investing, Treasury investments
20 Comments
Treasury is ending paper I Bonds as a tax refund
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com If you’ve been overpaying estimated taxes all through 2024 with the intention of purchasing paper U.S. Series I Savings Bonds in 2025 … it’s time for a new plan. Reporter Susan Tompor of the Detroit Free … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, I Bond, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged bonds, investing, Treasury investments
29 Comments
David, with all due respect, facts are better, e.g "but not massive." Really! Don't have to be a political appointee...look…