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Recent Posts
- 5-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.433% to solid demand
- U.S. annual inflation falls to 2.7% for November, a surprising drop
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction still looks solid
- The bond market isn’t buying the Fed’s rate cuts
- Morningstar says VTIP is having a ‘lousy’ year. It’s not true.
- Car-buying in the age of tariffs
- ‘Synthetic’ calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October
- Bad news: Medicare costs for 2026 are surging at triple the rate of inflation
- ‘Bond King’ has a dire view of long-term Treasurys
- 10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.843% to lukewarm demand
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Real yields for very short-terms TIPS get exaggerated and are misleading. Read this: https://tipswatch.com/2022/09/02/whats-up-with-those-crazy-real-yields-on-ultra-short-term-tips/ That January maturity already has its…
The TIPS maturing 1-15-26 has a yield of 5.342% and the TIPS maturing 4-15-26 has a yield of 2.696%. Are…
At Vanguard, the eventual confirmation statement will show the real yield to maturity, but not the executed trade screen. My…
The problem for the BLS is that it needs to IMMEDIATELY reinforce its credibility, as investors fear manipulation. This inflation…
Categories
Tag Archives: economy
10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 2.220%, 2nd highest in 16 years
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com At this moment, I am on a Viking cruise ship sailing out of Gdansk, Poland, and could lose internet access at any moment. So this is going to be quick. The U.S. Treasury’s $18 billion reopening … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Tariffs
Tagged economy, finance, investing, personal-finance, stocks, Treasury investments
19 Comments
U.S. inflation increased 0.2% in April, as annual rate falls to a 4-year low
This is positive news, but uncertainties remain. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com I am writing this on a sunny Tuesday afternoon in Stockholm, Sweden, so I plan to be brief, to the point, and then get on to exploring this beautiful … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, Tariffs
Tagged economics, economy, finance, inflation, investing, personal-finance
10 Comments
5-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 1.702% to apparently weak demand
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The Treasury’s auction of a new 5-year TIPS, CUSIP 91282CNB3, was a hard one to predict. Real yields have been sliding all over the place in the last week. You might have seen real yield predictions … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, investing, personal-finance
21 Comments
Welcome to the I Bond ‘buying season’
Buy in April to lock in the 1.2% fixed rate? Or buy in May to start with a higher composite rate? April 30 update: I Bond gets a new fixed rate of 1.10%, composite rate of 3.98% By David Enna, Tipswatch.com … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Retirement, Savings Bond, Treasury Bills, TreasuryDirect
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, investing, personal-finance, The Treasury
56 Comments
The Treasury market seems to be crumbling. Why?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Update, 2:15 pm April 9: Just about 12 hours after enforcing crippling tariffs on much of the world, President Trump changed course and announced a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs (above the new baseline 10%) on … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged economy, finance, investing, personal-finance, stocks, Treasury bonds, Treasury notes
43 Comments
The Trade Confirmations I get from Fidelity overnight after purchase (settlement date) clearly show the yield to maturity for TIPS…