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Recent Posts
- I Bond’s fixed rate is likely to hold at 0.90% at May 1 reset
- War in Iran: Sliding toward a financial crisis
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 1.896%
- Chaos of war bolsters 10-year real yield heading into this week’s auction
- February inflation rose 0.3%, as expected. Is this our last ‘tame’ reading for awhile?
- Could Tipswatch.com be staffed by AI agents?
- Economist Claudia Sahm: U.S. economic statistics are not being manipulated
- 30-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.473%, second highest in 16 years
- For the right investor, this week’s 30-year TIPS auction will have appeal
- January’s mild inflation report comes with ‘qualifications’
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
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- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
David's fixed rate predictions have been stellar. I hope "the variable rate would soar to 3.22%." That would give a…
Thom...and your point is? Why would you be looking to move funds to Ibonds if you like your quoted rates…
The photo you’re referring to is at this link (scroll down the page to see it) https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/treasury-savings-bonds/
It also occurs to me, reflecting on the history of the savings bond program, that it has been paid the…
Categories
Tag Archives: personal-finance
10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.734% to weak demand
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com One day after the Federal Reserve acted to lower short-term interest rates, the Treasury’s offering of $19 billion in a reopened 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security — CUSIP 91282CNS6 — drew surprisingly weak demand from investors. The … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Tariffs
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, investing, personal-finance, stocks
18 Comments
10-year TIPS reopening will mark a shift in yields
Are we entering an era of lower real returns? By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The U.S. Treasury on Thursday will auction $19 billion in a reopened 10-year TIPS, CUSIP 91282CNS6. This will be a notable auction because the real yield to … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement, TreasuryDirect
Tagged investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
18 Comments
U.S. inflation rose 0.4% in August, higher than expected
Annual all-items inflation rose to 2.9%, the highest level since January By David Enna, Tipswatch.com In what could be a crucially important report, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today that seasonally adjusted U.S. inflation rose 0.4% in August, higher … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement, Social Security, Tariffs
Tagged investing, personal-finance
23 Comments
Forecast: I Bond’s fixed rate is likely to fall to 0.90%
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com In two months, probably on Halloween morning, the Treasury will announce a new fixed rate, inflation-adjusted variable rate and composite rate for U.S. Series I Savings Bonds purchased from November 2025 to April 2026. And I … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond
Tagged investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
34 Comments
An inflation surge could be coming in early 2026
What will be the effect of ‘big beautiful’ tax refund checks? By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Last week I read a report by David Kelly, chief global strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, that mirrored some of my concerns that sizable federal … Continue reading
I believe you asked 'what is your money earning now?' and I answered... I'm earning a lot more real yield…