Summary
- The I Bond’s inflation-adjusted rate will rise slightly on November 1, so there is no pressure to buy before then.
- But could the I Bond’s fixed rate fall from its current 0.3%? The data suggest zero chance, but the Treasury is unpredictable.
- In fact, the data clearly support an increase in the fixed rate to 0.4% and possibly even 0.5%.

The gift box discussion got me thinking about the first time TD sent out emails to deliver gift I Bonds…