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Recent Posts
- 5-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.433% to solid demand
- U.S. annual inflation falls to 2.7% for November, a surprising drop
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction still looks solid
- The bond market isn’t buying the Fed’s rate cuts
- Morningstar says VTIP is having a ‘lousy’ year. It’s not true.
- Car-buying in the age of tariffs
- ‘Synthetic’ calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October
- Bad news: Medicare costs for 2026 are surging at triple the rate of inflation
- ‘Bond King’ has a dire view of long-term Treasurys
- 10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.843% to lukewarm demand
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Hmm, so if one was convinced these numbers will have a future correction upward, undoing the TIPS principal balance drop…
Because of the government shutdown, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) didn't have new data, so they just "carried forward"…
The data is a mess. And may God help the people who make it right.
Healthcare is one of the biggest drivers of inflation. The fact that it is excluded from CPI just shows why…
Categories
Author Archives: Tipswatch
TreasuryDirect sends another clear message: Changes are coming
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com A helpful reader alerted me last week that TreasuryDirect was asking investors to clear out their Zero-Interest Certificates of Indebtedness (C of I) holdings. Based on the wording of the email, I’d call it a “warning,” … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, EE Bonds, I Bond, Savings Bond, Treasury Bills, TreasuryDirect
54 Comments
September inflation report sets I Bond variable rate at 3.12%; Social Security COLA will be 2.8%
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Welcome to the most important (and most delayed) inflation report of the year: For September, seasonally adjusted U.S. inflation increased 0.3% and the annual rate ticked up from 2.9% to 3.0%, the beleaguered Bureau of Labor … Continue reading
New 5-year TIPS gets real yield of 1.182%
Investor demand appeared to be lukewarm. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The U.S. Treasury’s auction offering of $26 billion of a new 5-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security — CUSIP 91282CPH8 — generated a real yield to maturity of 1.182%, down a whopping … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
16 Comments
This week’s 5-year TIPS auction will be hard to predict
Oct. 23 update: New 5-year TIPS gets real yield of 1.182% By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Auctions for new 5-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities happen twice a year, in April and October. Because of the relatively short term, and the different inflationary conditions … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
32 Comments
A 5-year TIPS is maturing today. How did it do as an investment?
An awful auction. A decent result. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Back on October 22, 2020, a new 5-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security — CUSIP 91282CAQ4 — auctioned with a depressingly low real yield to maturity of -1.320%, which at the time … Continue reading
Posted in ETFs, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond
Tagged investing, personal-finance
25 Comments
David, with all due respect, facts are better, e.g "but not massive." Really! Don't have to be a political appointee...look…