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Recent Posts
- A 5-year TIPS is maturing April 15. How did it do as an investment?
- I Bond’s fixed rate is likely to hold at 0.90% at May 1 reset
- War in Iran: Sliding toward a financial crisis
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 1.896%
- Chaos of war bolsters 10-year real yield heading into this week’s auction
- February inflation rose 0.3%, as expected. Is this our last ‘tame’ reading for awhile?
- Could Tipswatch.com be staffed by AI agents?
- Economist Claudia Sahm: U.S. economic statistics are not being manipulated
- 30-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.473%, second highest in 16 years
- For the right investor, this week’s 30-year TIPS auction will have appeal
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
I am definitely not a fan of purchasing TIPS with negative real yields. My goal is to get a safe…
I Bonds would definitely outperform inflation in an era of severe deflation. But the fixed rate would get wiped out,…
I-bonds would surely shine were the economy to collapse and a deflationary crisis hit.
I purchased the April 2026 TIPS at a very different time, sometime in 2024. The real yield to maturity was…
Categories
Author Archives: Tipswatch
This week’s 10-year TIPS reopening should get a positive real yield (finally!)
If the real yield holds above zero, this will be the most attractive TIPS auction in more than 2 years. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Something great and unfortunately rarely seen could happen this Thursday, when the Treasury holds a $14 … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Investing in TIPS
18 Comments
Podcast: ‘Inflation Guy’ explains peak inflation
Are we there yet? Probably. Are our troubles over? No. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com If you’ve been reading coverage of Wednesday’s April inflation report, you might have noticed two strains of news spin: 1) “Inflation is coming down,” or 2) … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation
6 Comments
U.S. inflation rose 0.3% in April, again exceeding expectations
While annual inflation dipped slightly, inflation continues to run hot — too hot for complacency by the Federal Reserve. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com When is a surprise not a surprise? When it comes to economists trying to predict U.S. inflation. … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
6 Comments
Ready to convert paper I Bonds into electronic form? Here’s a step-by-step guide.
Hint: It’s a bit complicated. What else would you expect? Editor’s note: In October 2021, Wisconsin-based financial adviser Jeremy Keil invited me onto his podcast to talk about I Bonds. He was ahead of the curve on I Bonds, educating … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Savings Bond
40 Comments
Podcast: ‘Inflation Guy’ questions the Fed’s resolve to fight soaring prices
“The recession isn’t going to happen tomorrow, but it will happen next year.” Tipswatch.com As we all expected, the Federal Reserve raised its key short-term interest rate by 50 basis points on Wednesday, while also announcing plans to begin paring … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation
13 Comments
Thanks for the detailed explanation. I believe you are saying the "breakeven inflation rate" should reflect the inflation expectation rather…