Category Archives: Federal Reserve

2024: An inflation-watcher’s year in review

Posted on December 31, 2024 by Tipswatch

By David Enna, Tipswatch.com This year 2024 brought many surprises. For example: The year 2025 is bringing uncertainty. I would not be surprised to see a fairly large sell-off in stock prices early in the year, with investors eager to … Continue reading →

Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, Treasury Bills, TreasuryDirect | Tagged , , , , , | 33 Comments

Could the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6% in 2025?

Posted on December 22, 2024 by Tipswatch

It is a possibility, says a T.Rowe Price analyst. We haven’t seen that level in 25 years. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The chief investment officer at T.Rowe Price is making a bold prediction: Yields on the 10-year Treasury note could … Continue reading →

Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Treasury Bills | Tagged , , , , | 32 Comments

Weak demand results in real yield of 2.121% for 5-year TIPS reopening auction

Posted on December 19, 2024 by Tipswatch

By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The U.S. stock and bond markets were sent into turmoil Wednesday by confusing messaging from the Federal Reserve on future inflation and interest rates. As a result, the stock market plummeted and Treasury yields surged higher. … Continue reading →

Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS | Tagged , , , | 18 Comments

November inflation again ticked higher, to an annual rate of 2.7%

Posted on December 11, 2024 by Tipswatch

Troubling conclusion: U.S. inflation is no longer slowing and remains too high. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Although annual U.S. inflation rose from 2.6% in October to 2.7% in November, financial markets are likely to view today’s report as a positive, … Continue reading →

Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS | Tagged , , , , , | 29 Comments

Real yields seem to have crested the peak. What’s next?

Posted on December 8, 2024 by Tipswatch

By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It’s been an interesting month for financial investments of all types, as markets adapt to the launch of a second Donald Trump administration. Interesting, and very profitable for some speculative investors. Some examples: Some of these … Continue reading →

Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Treasury Bills | Tagged , , , , , | 14 Comments