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Recent Posts
- Deflation could be coming (and don’t be surprised)
- My schedule … and what’s coming next
- Treasury sets I Bond’s fixed rate at 1.40%; composite rate rises to 5.51%
- A historically awful 5-year TIPS matured Oct. 15. How did it do as an investment?
- The I Bond’s new fixed rate should be 1.40%. However …
- 5-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.367% on a strong day for Treasurys
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction may be the ‘ultimate’ conservative investment
- September inflation sets I Bond variable rate at 4.08%; Social Security COLA will be 3.6%
- ‘TIPS are for losers’ … Really?
- Trump just opened the Pandora’s box of inflation
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives

Regarding the ping back on EE bonds-- it occurs to me that a useful way to think about savings bonds,…
That's how I read it. Monthly deflation for those months.
These are negative NSA numbers, and therefore, deflation in that month. Prices fell overall, even though inflation remained the longer-term…
Respectfully, aren't you misusing the meaning of deflation (inflation less than zero) and disinflation ( decreasing rate of inflation) ?
Categories
Tag Archives: interest-rates
Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com I am posting this Schwab podcast as an add-on to my Friday article, “Secretary Bessent, take note: Treasury yields are not ‘too high’.” Note that the podcast focuses on Bessent’s actions and the bond market’s reaction. It … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Tariffs
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, interest-rates, investing, stocks, Treasury investments
18 Comments
2025: An inflation-watcher’s year in review
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Let’s all admit one thing: 2025 has been a bizarre year for the U.S. economy, inflation, government effectiveness and the certainty of economic statistics. In fact, my code word through the entire year has been “uncertainty,” … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement
Tagged inflation, interest-rates, investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
35 Comments
The bond market isn’t buying the Fed’s rate cuts
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com As the Federal Reserve continues on a path toward lower short-term interest rates, the bond market isn’t tagging along. Instead, yields on medium- and longer-term Treasurys have been increasing, not falling. The Fed began its latest … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Tariffs, Treasury Bills
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, interest-rates, investing
32 Comments
U.S. annual inflation held steady in July at 2.7%, better than expected
Core inflation, however, rose to 3.1% annually despite moderating shelter costs. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The July inflation report offered a mixed bag of results. Seasonally adjusted all-items inflation increased 0.2% for the month, as expected, and held steady at … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Tariffs
Tagged interest-rates, personal-finance
27 Comments
New 10-year TIPS gets real yield of 1.985% to solid investor demand
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The Treasury’s largest 10-year TIPS auction in history got a warm welcome from investors, generating a real yield to maturity of 1.985% — a bit below expectations, an indication of solid demand. The auction size was … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
Tagged interest-rates, investing, personal-finance
10 Comments
[…] TIPSWatch, 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.653%, 17 Sep 2026: https://tipswatch.com/2026/09/17/10-year-tips-reopening-gets-real-yield-of-2-653-highest-in-nearly-1… […]