Hey Dave, long time reader first time poster. I like your site bro, it has really provided me with good…
Core CPI inflation already gets rid of most of the volatile swings and it's currently 2.6% versus 3.3% for all…
David, can you comment on this, or perhaps it’s worthy of an entire article: https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2026/04/22/kevin-warsh-inflation-trend-pce-trump.html The Fed has long favored…
Not to worry - as testified under oath before Congress, if confirmed as Fed Chair, Warsh is going to change…
Tag Archives: interest-rates
2025: An inflation-watcher’s year in review
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Let’s all admit one thing: 2025 has been a bizarre year for the U.S. economy, inflation, government effectiveness and the certainty of economic statistics. In fact, my code word through the entire year has been “uncertainty,” … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement
Tagged inflation, interest-rates, investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
35 Comments
The bond market isn’t buying the Fed’s rate cuts
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com As the Federal Reserve continues on a path toward lower short-term interest rates, the bond market isn’t tagging along. Instead, yields on medium- and longer-term Treasurys have been increasing, not falling. The Fed began its latest … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Tariffs, Treasury Bills
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, interest-rates, investing
32 Comments
U.S. annual inflation held steady in July at 2.7%, better than expected
Core inflation, however, rose to 3.1% annually despite moderating shelter costs. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The July inflation report offered a mixed bag of results. Seasonally adjusted all-items inflation increased 0.2% for the month, as expected, and held steady at … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Tariffs
Tagged interest-rates, personal-finance
27 Comments
New 10-year TIPS gets real yield of 1.985% to solid investor demand
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The Treasury’s largest 10-year TIPS auction in history got a warm welcome from investors, generating a real yield to maturity of 1.985% — a bit below expectations, an indication of solid demand. The auction size was … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
Tagged interest-rates, investing, personal-finance
10 Comments
Inflation jumped higher in June to annual rate of 2.7%
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com As economists expected, U.S. all-items inflation moved higher in June, up 0.3% for the month and 2.7% year over year, well above the annual rate in May of 2.4%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported. Core … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Social Security, Tariffs
Tagged economics, economy, finance, inflation, interest-rates, investing, personal-finance
14 Comments
Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities 
I have been writing about TIPS since 2011 but for nearly a decade real yields were miserably low, often negative…