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Recent Posts
- 2025: An inflation-watcher’s year in review
- What’s inside the foggy November inflation report?
- 5-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.433% to solid demand
- U.S. annual inflation falls to 2.7% for November, a surprising drop
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction still looks solid
- The bond market isn’t buying the Fed’s rate cuts
- Morningstar says VTIP is having a ‘lousy’ year. It’s not true.
- Car-buying in the age of tariffs
- ‘Synthetic’ calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October
- Bad news: Medicare costs for 2026 are surging at triple the rate of inflation
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Right! Go with the crowd!
Bank on it!
For me the key item for the year was the senate resolution to essentially back date several trillion dollars of…
Nice summary. It appears more people are not trusting the inflation statistics, but David did give some comfort by saying,…
Categories
Category Archives: I Bond
2025: An inflation-watcher’s year in review
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Let’s all admit one thing: 2025 has been a bizarre year for the U.S. economy, inflation, government effectiveness and the certainty of economic statistics. In fact, my code word through the entire year has been “uncertainty,” … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement
Tagged inflation, interest-rates, investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
17 Comments
U.S. annual inflation falls to 2.7% for November, a surprising drop
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com In the messiest inflation report in history, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said today that seasonally-adjusted consumer prices rose just 0.2% over a two-month period (October and November), resulting in an annual rate of 2.7% This … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, investing, personal-finance, stock-market, Treasury investments
24 Comments
This week’s 5-year TIPS auction still looks solid
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com As I noted in a post last week, the Federal Reserve’s recent moves to lower short-term interest rates haven’t caused real yields to decline. Instead, they have been rising. Normally, the 5-year real yield will track … Continue reading
Posted in Bank CDs, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
Tagged investing, Treasury investments
14 Comments
‘Synthetic’ calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The U.S. Treasury today finally announced a calculated CPI index for October – 325.604 – which equates to monthly inflation of 0.25%. The presumed annual rate ticked higher from 3.0% in September to 3.1% in October. … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Taxes, TreasuryDirect
Tagged investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
11 Comments
‘Bond King’ has a dire view of long-term Treasurys
Gundlach: ‘Treasurys look vulnerable to me’ By David Enna, Tipswatch.com A few years ago, I was working in the kitchen and listening to CNBC in the background. A guest came on and talked, talked, talked about debt investments and risks. … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Treasury Bills
Tagged personal-finance, Treasury investments
57 Comments
[…] above the 2 percent target, even after the worst of the surge. An inflation watcher notes that In November…