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Recent Posts
- A 5-year TIPS is maturing April 15. How did it do as an investment?
- I Bond’s fixed rate is likely to hold at 0.90% at May 1 reset
- War in Iran: Sliding toward a financial crisis
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 1.896%
- Chaos of war bolsters 10-year real yield heading into this week’s auction
- February inflation rose 0.3%, as expected. Is this our last ‘tame’ reading for awhile?
- Could Tipswatch.com be staffed by AI agents?
- Economist Claudia Sahm: U.S. economic statistics are not being manipulated
- 30-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.473%, second highest in 16 years
- For the right investor, this week’s 30-year TIPS auction will have appeal
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Thanks for doing these reviews of maturing TIPS. It's instructive to see how past investing decisions played out. I was…
Looking ahead to the 5-year TIPS auction scheduled for April 23, right now Bloomberg's US bond table shows the 5-yr…
It is 100% true that I Bonds are the better investment when TIPS real yields are negative. That would even…
I'm trying to summarize this outcome in a simple statement: TIPs vs I Bonds TIPs are a worse investment than…
Categories
Category Archives: Inflation
Experiment: Let’s try out a very short-term TIPS
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Last week I wrote about my recent buying spree of medium- to longer-term Treasury Inflation Protected Securities, combined with some shorter-term nominal Treasurys and bank CDs. My goal is to take advantage of current high real … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Treasury Bills
22 Comments
Oh no, I’ve become a Treasury market day-trader!
Real yields at 2% are too good to pass up. Or am I wrong? By David Enna, Tipswatch.com OK, it’s a silly headline. I am not really day-trading in the Treasury and fixed-income markets; I’ve only been buying and not … Continue reading
Posted in Bank CDs, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement, Treasury Bills
54 Comments
For some, this week’s 30-year TIPS reopening will be a ‘unique’ opportunity
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com One of the year’s most interesting TIPS auctions is coming Thursday, the reopening of CUSIP 912810TP3, creating a 29-year, 6-month Treasury Inflation-Protected Security. Like many of you, I won’t be a buyer at this $8 billion … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
45 Comments
U.S. inflation rose 0.2% in July; what does it mean for I Bonds, TIPS and Social Security COLA?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Markets got fairly positive news today with the release of the July inflation report: The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers rose 0.2% on a seasonally adjusted basis, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported. Over … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement, Social Security
22 Comments
Social Security COLA looks likely to slip to 3.0% to 3.2% for 2024
Projecting the COLA is a fool’s game. But I’ll try anyway … By David Enna, Tipswatch.com With the release of the June inflation report on July 12, we now have a “pretty good” idea of where the Social Security cost-of-living … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Medicare, Retirement, Social Security
7 Comments
One easy way to look at this is to examine the BIL ETF, which holds 1-3 month T-bills. Over the…