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Recent Posts
- A 5-year TIPS is maturing April 15. How did it do as an investment?
- I Bond’s fixed rate is likely to hold at 0.90% at May 1 reset
- War in Iran: Sliding toward a financial crisis
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 1.896%
- Chaos of war bolsters 10-year real yield heading into this week’s auction
- February inflation rose 0.3%, as expected. Is this our last ‘tame’ reading for awhile?
- Could Tipswatch.com be staffed by AI agents?
- Economist Claudia Sahm: U.S. economic statistics are not being manipulated
- 30-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.473%, second highest in 16 years
- For the right investor, this week’s 30-year TIPS auction will have appeal
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
I am definitely not a fan of purchasing TIPS with negative real yields. My goal is to get a safe…
I Bonds would definitely outperform inflation in an era of severe deflation. But the fixed rate would get wiped out,…
I-bonds would surely shine were the economy to collapse and a deflationary crisis hit.
I purchased the April 2026 TIPS at a very different time, sometime in 2024. The real yield to maturity was…
Categories
Category Archives: Inflation
My schedule … and what’s coming up
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Must be about time to do some traveling, right? I will be in Europe through the rest of July, mostly relaxing one of those floating hotels you see advertised on Masterpiece Theater. On this trip — … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
8 Comments
Annual U.S. inflation falls to 3.0%. Is this what the Fed was looking for?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The just-released June inflation report is going to be greeted with glee, I think. It was exactly what the stock and bond markets were hoping for. What happened? The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Social Security
22 Comments
Followup: Bloomberg reports huge outflows from TIPS funds
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com My article yesterday talked about the potential attraction of a “Safe Withdrawal Rate” ETF investing in Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities. Today I noticed this: a Bloomberg report on huge outflows from traditional TIPS funds and ETFs. Here’s … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
34 Comments
This week’s 5-year TIPS reopening could get the highest real yield in 14 years
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The U.S. Treasury on Thursday will offer $19 billion in a reopening auction of CUSIP 91282CGW5, creating a 4-year, 10-month Treasury Inflation-Protected Security. This TIPS had its originating auction on April 20, 2023, when investors got … Continue reading
Posted in Bank CDs, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
66 Comments
U.S. inflation continued sliding lower in May, falling to 4.0% year-over-year
Core inflation, however, remains stubbornly high at 5.3%. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The May inflation report, just released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, brought some welcome news with seasonally-adjusted prices rising just 0.1% for the month and 4.0% year … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
40 Comments
Thanks for the detailed explanation. I believe you are saying the "breakeven inflation rate" should reflect the inflation expectation rather…