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Recent Posts
- A 5-year TIPS is maturing April 15. How did it do as an investment?
- I Bond’s fixed rate is likely to hold at 0.90% at May 1 reset
- War in Iran: Sliding toward a financial crisis
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 1.896%
- Chaos of war bolsters 10-year real yield heading into this week’s auction
- February inflation rose 0.3%, as expected. Is this our last ‘tame’ reading for awhile?
- Could Tipswatch.com be staffed by AI agents?
- Economist Claudia Sahm: U.S. economic statistics are not being manipulated
- 30-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.473%, second highest in 16 years
- For the right investor, this week’s 30-year TIPS auction will have appeal
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Most likely the TIPS will outperform the I Bond over 5 years, if held to maturity. The 5-year TIPS currently…
David, there is a 5-year TIPS coming up April 23 that I assume you will be writing about. Could you…
Thanks for the detailed explanation. I believe you are saying the "breakeven inflation rate" should reflect the inflation expectation rather…
I am definitely not a fan of purchasing TIPS with negative real yields. My goal is to get a safe…
Categories
Category Archives: Inflation
Podcast: ‘Inflation Guy’ questions the Fed’s resolve to fight soaring prices
“The recession isn’t going to happen tomorrow, but it will happen next year.” Tipswatch.com As we all expected, the Federal Reserve raised its key short-term interest rate by 50 basis points on Wednesday, while also announcing plans to begin paring … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation
13 Comments
Treasury holds I Bond’s fixed rate at 0.0%; composite rate rises to 9.62% for six months
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com EE Bonds will have a fixed rate of 0.1%, but continue doubling in value after 20 years, creating an effective interest rate of 3.5% The U.S. Treasury just announced the May to October 2022 terms for … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond
21 Comments
I Bond’s variable rate will rise to 9.62% with the May reset
May 2, 2022 update: Treasury holds I Bond’s fixed rate at 0.0%; composite rate soars to 9.62%. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Based on the March inflation report, which concluded the six-month rate setting period for the U.S. Series I Savings … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond
51 Comments
Podcast: ‘The Inflation Guy’ analyzes the February inflation report
“This 7.9% rate is a jumping off point for what March will bring us.” Tipswatch.com As expected, U.S. inflation continued at a four-decade high in February, and things are likely to get worse with the spike in commodity and transport … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS
9 Comments
U.S. inflation soared 0.8% in February, hitting annual rate of 7.9%, highest in 41 years
Inflation continues at a four-decade high, with costs of shelter, food and gasoline surging. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The numbers are ugly, but today’s inflation report mostly matched economist expectations, despite hitting a 41-year high. The Consumer Price Index for … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
22 Comments
Dongchen, I always say that the inflation breakeven rate reflects sentiment but is a fairly lousy predictor of future inflation.…