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Recent Posts
- A 5-year TIPS is maturing April 15. How did it do as an investment?
- I Bond’s fixed rate is likely to hold at 0.90% at May 1 reset
- War in Iran: Sliding toward a financial crisis
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 1.896%
- Chaos of war bolsters 10-year real yield heading into this week’s auction
- February inflation rose 0.3%, as expected. Is this our last ‘tame’ reading for awhile?
- Could Tipswatch.com be staffed by AI agents?
- Economist Claudia Sahm: U.S. economic statistics are not being manipulated
- 30-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.473%, second highest in 16 years
- For the right investor, this week’s 30-year TIPS auction will have appeal
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Most likely the TIPS will outperform the I Bond over 5 years, if held to maturity. The 5-year TIPS currently…
David, there is a 5-year TIPS coming up April 23 that I assume you will be writing about. Could you…
Thanks for the detailed explanation. I believe you are saying the "breakeven inflation rate" should reflect the inflation expectation rather…
I am definitely not a fan of purchasing TIPS with negative real yields. My goal is to get a safe…
Categories
Category Archives: Inflation
Should the Treasury raise the I Bond purchase cap to $100,000?
An op-ed piece in today’s Wall Street Journal makes the case. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Probably the most-often-mentioned “negative” of the U.S. Series I Savings Bond is the purchase cap of $10,000 per person per calendar year, plus the option … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond
56 Comments
Podcast: ‘The Inflation Guy’ analyzes the January inflation report
‘Too much money chasing too few goods.’ Economists don’t like it, it’s too simple, but it’s still the best explanation out there. Tipswatch.com Another month, another inflation shocker. What does it all mean? Let’s get some answers from inflation guru … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation
5 Comments
U.S. inflation surged 0.6% in January, again higher than expectations
Inflation is running at a 40-year high. What does it mean for I Bonds, TIPS and future interest rates? By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Once again, U.S. inflation is running higher than expectations, a trend that will probably continue through the … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
14 Comments
A 10-year TIPS matured Jan. 15. How did it do as an investment?
CUSIP 912828SA9 was the first-ever 10-year TIPS to auction with a negative real yield. Still, it ended up out-performing its nominal counterpart. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com On January 15, 2022, a 10-year TIPS — CUSIP 912828SA9 — matured. It was … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS
7 Comments
Podcast: ‘The Inflation Guy’ explains the December inflation report
“The Fed is in a real pickle. … Being on the tightening side of monetary policy is no fun.” Here is this week’s “Cents and Sensibility” podcast from inflation guru Michael Ashton. I am a big fan of this podcast … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation
2 Comments
Dongchen, I always say that the inflation breakeven rate reflects sentiment but is a fairly lousy predictor of future inflation.…