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Recent Posts
- 5-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.433% to solid demand
- U.S. annual inflation falls to 2.7% for November, a surprising drop
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction still looks solid
- The bond market isn’t buying the Fed’s rate cuts
- Morningstar says VTIP is having a ‘lousy’ year. It’s not true.
- Car-buying in the age of tariffs
- ‘Synthetic’ calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October
- Bad news: Medicare costs for 2026 are surging at triple the rate of inflation
- ‘Bond King’ has a dire view of long-term Treasurys
- 10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.843% to lukewarm demand
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Real yields for very short-terms TIPS get exaggerated and are misleading. Read this: https://tipswatch.com/2022/09/02/whats-up-with-those-crazy-real-yields-on-ultra-short-term-tips/ That January maturity already has its…
The TIPS maturing 1-15-26 has a yield of 5.342% and the TIPS maturing 4-15-26 has a yield of 2.696%. Are…
At Vanguard, the eventual confirmation statement will show the real yield to maturity, but not the executed trade screen. My…
The problem for the BLS is that it needs to IMMEDIATELY reinforce its credibility, as investors fear manipulation. This inflation…
Categories
Category Archives: Inflation
U.S. inflation rose 0.4% in August, higher than expected
Annual all-items inflation rose to 2.9%, the highest level since January By David Enna, Tipswatch.com In what could be a crucially important report, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today that seasonally adjusted U.S. inflation rose 0.4% in August, higher … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement, Social Security, Tariffs
Tagged investing, personal-finance
23 Comments
When rates decline, I Bonds get more attractive
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Last week, I noticed something very interesting: The real yield of the most recent 5-year TIPS fell on the secondary market at one point to 1.08% and closed the week at 1.10%. CUSIP 91282CNB3 had its … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond, Treasury Bills
Tagged Federal Reserve, Treasury investments
28 Comments
Forecast: I Bond’s fixed rate is likely to fall to 0.90%
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com In two months, probably on Halloween morning, the Treasury will announce a new fixed rate, inflation-adjusted variable rate and composite rate for U.S. Series I Savings Bonds purchased from November 2025 to April 2026. And I … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond
Tagged investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
34 Comments
An inflation surge could be coming in early 2026
What will be the effect of ‘big beautiful’ tax refund checks? By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Last week I read a report by David Kelly, chief global strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, that mirrored some of my concerns that sizable federal … Continue reading
30-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.650%, highest in nearly 24 years
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Investors were ready and willing to jump aboard today’s auction of a reopened 30-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security, CUSIP 912810UH9. And why not? The resulting real yield to maturity of 2.650% was the highest for this term … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, investing, personal-finance, stocks, Treasury investments
20 Comments
The Trade Confirmations I get from Fidelity overnight after purchase (settlement date) clearly show the yield to maturity for TIPS…