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Recent Posts
- Inflation moves higher in October, but annual numbers are missing
- Deflation could be coming (and don’t be surprised)
- My schedule … and what’s coming next
- Treasury sets I Bond’s fixed rate at 1.40%; composite rate rises to 5.51%
- A historically awful 5-year TIPS matured Oct. 15. How did it do as an investment?
- The I Bond’s new fixed rate should be 1.40%. However …
- 5-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.367% on a strong day for Treasurys
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction may be the ‘ultimate’ conservative investment
- September inflation sets I Bond variable rate at 4.08%; Social Security COLA will be 3.6%
- ‘TIPS are for losers’ … Really?
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
[…] Tipswatch, Synthetic calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October (Nov. 26, 2025) […]
Yes, it's certainly going to be interesting. It's unlikely for the May rate to be under 1.20%.The most likely things…
There is an excellent chance when the I-Bond resets in May that we are going to get a fixed rate…
And enjoy the trip!!!
Categories
Tag Archives: The Treasury
Nov. 13, 2025: The Inflation Day that wasn’t
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com I am writing this from a hotel room in Kyoto, Japan, 14 hours ahead of Eastern Standard Time. Today is Friday. I believe it is also Friday (but very early) in the United States. After 43 … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged economy, inflation, The Treasury, Treasury investments
11 Comments
I Bond fixed rate projection just fell to 0.90%
Oct. 24 update: September inflation report sets I Bond variable rate at 3.12% By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It was inevitable that the trend of lower 5-year real yields would eventually push my I Bond fixed rate protection to 0.90%, down … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond, Social Security, Treasury Bills
Tagged investing, personal-finance, The Treasury
40 Comments
Vanguard launches VTP, a new full-range TIPS ETF
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Vanguard’s lineup of bond exchange-traded funds has long had a missing piece: An ETF that indexes the performance of the full spectrum of maturities for Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities. Vanguard’s only option was VTIP, its Short-Term Inflation-Protected … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged ETFs, investing, personal-finance, The Treasury, TIPS, Vanguard
20 Comments
The U.S. T-bill market is feeling the debt pinch
A looming debt-limit crisis is causing yield anomalies. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com In looking over this week’s auctions of Treasury bills, I noticed something unusual, but also predictable: The looming debt-limit crisis is beginning to send tremors through the short-term … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, Treasury Bills, TreasuryDirect
Tagged debt limit, economy, finance, investing, personal-finance, stocks, The Treasury
16 Comments
U.S. annual inflation ticked higher in May, but below expectations
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com U.S. inflation continued rising at a moderate rate in May, with all-items prices increasing only 0.1% on a seasonally adjusted basis, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The annual inflation rate for May increased to … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged inflation, investing, personal-finance, The Treasury
18 Comments
The missing month of CPI due to the shutdown has come back to haunt, indeed. Figures that are indexed for…