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Recent Posts
- 5-year TIPS auction gets a real yield of 1.367%
- Here comes a rather unexciting 5-year TIPS auction
- I Bond dilemma: Buy in April or just keep waiting?
- March inflation sets I Bond’s new variable rate at 3.34%
- A 5-year TIPS is maturing April 15. How did it do as an investment?
- I Bond’s fixed rate is likely to hold at 0.90% at May 1 reset
- War in Iran: Sliding toward a financial crisis
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 1.896%
- Chaos of war bolsters 10-year real yield heading into this week’s auction
- February inflation rose 0.3%, as expected. Is this our last ‘tame’ reading for awhile?
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Hey Dave, long time reader first time poster. I like your site bro, it has really provided me with good…
Core CPI inflation already gets rid of most of the volatile swings and it's currently 2.6% versus 3.3% for all…
David, can you comment on this, or perhaps it’s worthy of an entire article: https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2026/04/22/kevin-warsh-inflation-trend-pce-trump.html The Fed has long favored…
Not to worry - as testified under oath before Congress, if confirmed as Fed Chair, Warsh is going to change…
Categories
Tag Archives: The Treasury
Nov. 13, 2025: The Inflation Day that wasn’t
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com I am writing this from a hotel room in Kyoto, Japan, 14 hours ahead of Eastern Standard Time. Today is Friday. I believe it is also Friday (but very early) in the United States. After 43 … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged economy, inflation, The Treasury, Treasury investments
11 Comments
I Bond fixed rate projection just fell to 0.90%
Oct. 24 update: September inflation report sets I Bond variable rate at 3.12% By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It was inevitable that the trend of lower 5-year real yields would eventually push my I Bond fixed rate protection to 0.90%, down … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond, Social Security, Treasury Bills
Tagged investing, personal-finance, The Treasury
40 Comments
Vanguard launches VTP, a new full-range TIPS ETF
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Vanguard’s lineup of bond exchange-traded funds has long had a missing piece: An ETF that indexes the performance of the full spectrum of maturities for Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities. Vanguard’s only option was VTIP, its Short-Term Inflation-Protected … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged ETFs, investing, personal-finance, The Treasury, TIPS, Vanguard
20 Comments
The U.S. T-bill market is feeling the debt pinch
A looming debt-limit crisis is causing yield anomalies. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com In looking over this week’s auctions of Treasury bills, I noticed something unusual, but also predictable: The looming debt-limit crisis is beginning to send tremors through the short-term … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, Treasury Bills, TreasuryDirect
Tagged debt limit, economy, finance, investing, personal-finance, stocks, The Treasury
16 Comments
U.S. annual inflation ticked higher in May, but below expectations
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com U.S. inflation continued rising at a moderate rate in May, with all-items prices increasing only 0.1% on a seasonally adjusted basis, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The annual inflation rate for May increased to … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged inflation, investing, personal-finance, The Treasury
18 Comments
I have been writing about TIPS since 2011 but for nearly a decade real yields were miserably low, often negative…