Category Archives: Inflation

10-year TIPS reopening will mark a shift in yields

Posted on September 14, 2025 by Tipswatch

Are we entering an era of lower real returns? By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The U.S. Treasury on Thursday will auction $19 billion in a reopened 10-year TIPS, CUSIP 91282CNS6. This will be a notable auction because the real yield to … Continue reading →

Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement, TreasuryDirect | Tagged , , | 18 Comments

U.S. inflation rose 0.4% in August, higher than expected

Posted on September 11, 2025 by Tipswatch

Annual all-items inflation rose to 2.9%, the highest level since January By David Enna, Tipswatch.com In what could be a crucially important report, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today that seasonally adjusted U.S. inflation rose 0.4% in August, higher … Continue reading →

Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement, Social Security, Tariffs | Tagged , | 23 Comments

When rates decline, I Bonds get more attractive

Posted on September 7, 2025 by Tipswatch

By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Last week, I noticed something very interesting: The real yield of the most recent 5-year TIPS fell on the secondary market at one point to 1.08% and closed the week at 1.10%. CUSIP 91282CNB3 had its … Continue reading →

Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond, Treasury Bills | Tagged , | 28 Comments

Forecast: I Bond’s fixed rate is likely to fall to 0.90%

Posted on September 2, 2025 by Tipswatch

By David Enna, Tipswatch.com In two months, probably on Halloween morning, the Treasury will announce a new fixed rate, inflation-adjusted variable rate and composite rate for U.S. Series I Savings Bonds purchased from November 2025 to April 2026. And I … Continue reading →

Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond | Tagged , , | 34 Comments

An inflation surge could be coming in early 2026

Posted on August 30, 2025 by Tipswatch

What will be the effect of ‘big beautiful’ tax refund checks? By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Last week I read a report by David Kelly, chief global strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, that mirrored some of my concerns that sizable federal … Continue reading →

Posted in Inflation, Tariffs, Treasury Bills | Tagged , | 25 Comments