-
-
Recent Posts
- March inflation sets I Bond’s new variable rate at 3.34%
- A 5-year TIPS is maturing April 15. How did it do as an investment?
- I Bond’s fixed rate is likely to hold at 0.90% at May 1 reset
- War in Iran: Sliding toward a financial crisis
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 1.896%
- Chaos of war bolsters 10-year real yield heading into this week’s auction
- February inflation rose 0.3%, as expected. Is this our last ‘tame’ reading for awhile?
- Could Tipswatch.com be staffed by AI agents?
- Economist Claudia Sahm: U.S. economic statistics are not being manipulated
- 30-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.473%, second highest in 16 years
-
Links
-
- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Dongchen, I always say that the inflation breakeven rate reflects sentiment but is a fairly lousy predictor of future inflation.…
Most likely the TIPS will outperform the I Bond over 5 years, if held to maturity. The 5-year TIPS currently…
David, there is a 5-year TIPS coming up April 23 that I assume you will be writing about. Could you…
Thanks for the detailed explanation. I believe you are saying the "breakeven inflation rate" should reflect the inflation expectation rather…
Categories
Category Archives: Investing in TIPS
A 10-year TIPS is maturing Jan. 15. How did it do as an investment?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com In a few days, CUSIP 912828H45 – a 10-year TIPS that originated at auction on Jan. 22, 2015 – will mature. This was a ho-hum TIPS that came to life at a strange time in the … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged economy, inflation, investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
18 Comments
2024: An inflation-watcher’s year in review
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com This year 2024 brought many surprises. For example: The year 2025 is bringing uncertainty. I would not be surprised to see a fairly large sell-off in stock prices early in the year, with investors eager to … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, Treasury Bills, TreasuryDirect
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, interest-rates, investing, personal-finance
33 Comments
Could the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6% in 2025?
It is a possibility, says a T.Rowe Price analyst. We haven’t seen that level in 25 years. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The chief investment officer at T.Rowe Price is making a bold prediction: Yields on the 10-year Treasury note could … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Treasury Bills
Tagged economy, finance, interest-rates, personal-finance, Treasury investments
32 Comments
Weak demand results in real yield of 2.121% for 5-year TIPS reopening auction
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The U.S. stock and bond markets were sent into turmoil Wednesday by confusing messaging from the Federal Reserve on future inflation and interest rates. As a result, the stock market plummeted and Treasury yields surged higher. … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged bonds, inflation, investing, personal-finance
18 Comments
Rise in real yields (once again) makes 5-year TIPS auction look attractive
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Update, Thursday 1:35 p.m. ET: Weak demand results in real yield of 2.121% for 5-year TIPS reopening auction Update, Wednesday 5:17 pm ET: The Federal Reserve’s mixed messaging on inflation (expected to be a bit higher next … Continue reading
Posted in Bank CDs, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
Tagged bonds, inflation, investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
28 Comments
Certainly looks like a wait and see until mid-October situation for I-Bond purchases.