Category Archives: Investing in TIPS

U.S. Inflation Rose 0.2% In February, Matching Expectations

Summary Gasoline prices fell 0.9%, which helped to moderate overall inflation. Food prices held steady. Non-seasonally adjusted inflation rose 0.45% in the month, meaning TIPS principal balances will rise 0.45% in April. The February number is the fifth in a … Continue reading

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Inflation Breakeven Rate: What It Really Tells You About TIPS

Summary Inflation breakeven rates have been rising fairly steadily since February 2016 and now are in the ‘neutral’ zone of value. When inflation breakevens rise, TIPS outperform nominal Treasurys. The lower the breakeven rate, the higher the ‘margin of safety’ … Continue reading

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30-Year TIPS Auctions With A Real Yield Of 1.003%, Highest In 2 Years

Summary The real yield of 1.003% set the coupon rate at 1%, which is favorable for investors. The inflation breakeven rate came in at 2.12%, up 28 basis points from a June 2017 auction of a similar term. The market … Continue reading

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U.S. Inflation Jumped 0.5% In January, Higher Than Expected

Summary The 0.5% increase in ‘headline’ inflation was well above the 0.3% consensus estimate. Core inflation rose 0.3%, also above the consensus estimate of 0.2%. Non-seasonally adjusted inflation rose 0.54% in January; what does this mean for holders of TIPS … Continue reading

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A New 30-Year TIPS? Skip It

Summary 30-year real yields have been climbing, but not as quickly as yields for 5- and 10-year TIPS. The inflation breakeven rate is currently a reasonable 2.15%, making this issue competitive with a nominal 30-year Treasury. Risk/reward just isn’t good … Continue reading

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