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Recent Posts
- Trump just opened the Pandora’s box of inflation
- Tremors are rippling across the U.S. Treasury market
- TIPS vs. I Bonds: Let’s do the math
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.653%, highest in nearly 18 years
- Here’s an illustrated guide to TreasuryDirect’s new login process
- This week’s 10-year TIPS auction has strong appeal
- U.S. inflation holds at 3.4% for August. Will that lead to a rate hike?
- TreasuryDirect provides more guidance on ID.me transition
- Wise advice: ‘Don’t die with I Bonds’
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
The upcoming 5 year TIPS auction is on October 22, 2026. Still waiting for the proposed real yield. As of…
Hi Dan, I did not make a "personal attack on David." Please don't exaggerate things. I simply pointed out issues…
I set up my ID.me wallet. No issues. Then tried to sign in to Treasury Direct. All seemed to be…
Yes, 1.3% looks solid, with a shot at 1.4%. That assumes the Treasury follows past practices.
Categories
Category Archives: Investing in TIPS
Wednesday’s 10-Year TIPS Auction Still Looks Attractive
Summary The real (after-inflation) yield looks likely to top 1.00% for the first time for any 9- to 10-year TIPS auction since January 2011. The inflation breakeven rate is currently a reasonable 2.02% and should attract strong demand at this … Continue reading
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U.S. Inflation Rose 0.3% In October, Highest Since January
Summary Higher gasoline prices accounted for more than one-third of the increase in headline inflation, the BLS reported. But crude oil prices began declining in October, which should be reflected in near-term gasoline prices. Both headline and core inflation matched … Continue reading
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Great News For I Bond Investors: Treasury Raises Fixed Rate To 0.50%
Summary I Bonds purchased from November through April will carry a composite rate of 2.83%, based on a fixed rate of 0.50% and inflation rate of 2.32%. The fixed rate of 0.50% is the highest in 10 years, and means … Continue reading
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30-Year TIPS Reopening Auctions With A Real Yield Of 1.235%
Summary The after-inflation yield of 1.235% was higher than where this TIPS was trading in the secondary market. That indicates weak demand. The yield was the highest for any 29- to 30-year TIPS auction since February 2014. The inflation breakeven … Continue reading
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I Bond Investors: Higher Fixed Rate Could Be Coming
Summary The I Bond’s inflation-adjusted rate will rise slightly on November 1, so there is no pressure to buy before then. But could the I Bond’s fixed rate fall from its current 0.3%? The data suggest zero chance, but the … Continue reading
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As things stand today (two weeks out) the 5-year inflation breakeven rate is about 2.37%. If you think inflation will…