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Recent Posts
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction still looks solid
- The bond market isn’t buying the Fed’s rate cuts
- Morningstar says VTIP is having a ‘lousy’ year. It’s not true.
- Car-buying in the age of tariffs
- ‘Synthetic’ calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October
- Bad news: Medicare costs for 2026 are surging at triple the rate of inflation
- ‘Bond King’ has a dire view of long-term Treasurys
- 10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.843% to lukewarm demand
- This week’s 10-year TIPS auction will be a test case for uncertainty
- Nov. 13, 2025: The Inflation Day that wasn’t
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Prognostication is for sure one of the most ancient human rackets that never goes away and seldom goes as predicted.
LOL - One thing I have learned in a fairly long life of investing is that no one knows where…
Loss of global confidence in the US Dollar
I have a timely question. When the ACA subsidies expire at the end of the year, the cost of healthcare…
Categories
Category Archives: Treasury Bills
The bond market isn’t buying the Fed’s rate cuts
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com As the Federal Reserve continues on a path toward lower short-term interest rates, the bond market isn’t tagging along. Instead, yields on medium- and longer-term Treasurys have been increasing, not falling. The Fed began its latest … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Tariffs, Treasury Bills
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, interest-rates, investing
28 Comments
‘Bond King’ has a dire view of long-term Treasurys
Gundlach: ‘Treasurys look vulnerable to me’ By David Enna, Tipswatch.com A few years ago, I was working in the kitchen and listening to CNBC in the background. A guest came on and talked, talked, talked about debt investments and risks. … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Treasury Bills
Tagged personal-finance, Treasury investments
57 Comments
TreasuryDirect sends another clear message: Changes are coming
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com A helpful reader alerted me last week that TreasuryDirect was asking investors to clear out their Zero-Interest Certificates of Indebtedness (C of I) holdings. Based on the wording of the email, I’d call it a “warning,” … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, EE Bonds, I Bond, Savings Bond, Treasury Bills, TreasuryDirect
54 Comments
September inflation report sets I Bond variable rate at 3.12%; Social Security COLA will be 2.8%
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Welcome to the most important (and most delayed) inflation report of the year: For September, seasonally adjusted U.S. inflation increased 0.3% and the annual rate ticked up from 2.9% to 3.0%, the beleaguered Bureau of Labor … Continue reading
I Bond fixed rate projection just fell to 0.90%
Oct. 24 update: September inflation report sets I Bond variable rate at 3.12% By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It was inevitable that the trend of lower 5-year real yields would eventually push my I Bond fixed rate protection to 0.90%, down … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond, Social Security, Treasury Bills
Tagged investing, personal-finance, The Treasury
40 Comments
I believe your forecast of enduring human credulity has merit.