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Recent Posts
- 2025: An inflation-watcher’s year in review
- What’s inside the foggy November inflation report?
- 5-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.433% to solid demand
- U.S. annual inflation falls to 2.7% for November, a surprising drop
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction still looks solid
- The bond market isn’t buying the Fed’s rate cuts
- Morningstar says VTIP is having a ‘lousy’ year. It’s not true.
- Car-buying in the age of tariffs
- ‘Synthetic’ calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October
- Bad news: Medicare costs for 2026 are surging at triple the rate of inflation
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Right or wrong, the ACA subsidies were needed because the Supreme Court struck down the tax penalty for people with…
Typo - 2023, not 2013
Not pessimistic, just realistic. 4.3% GDP was indeed a good number, the highest in two years since the 3td quarter…
Again, only the enhanced subsidies are expiring not the Premium Tax Credit subsidies that are part of the ACA. And…
Categories
Category Archives: Treasury Bills
The bond market isn’t buying the Fed’s rate cuts
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com As the Federal Reserve continues on a path toward lower short-term interest rates, the bond market isn’t tagging along. Instead, yields on medium- and longer-term Treasurys have been increasing, not falling. The Fed began its latest … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Tariffs, Treasury Bills
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, interest-rates, investing
30 Comments
‘Bond King’ has a dire view of long-term Treasurys
Gundlach: ‘Treasurys look vulnerable to me’ By David Enna, Tipswatch.com A few years ago, I was working in the kitchen and listening to CNBC in the background. A guest came on and talked, talked, talked about debt investments and risks. … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Treasury Bills
Tagged personal-finance, Treasury investments
57 Comments
TreasuryDirect sends another clear message: Changes are coming
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com A helpful reader alerted me last week that TreasuryDirect was asking investors to clear out their Zero-Interest Certificates of Indebtedness (C of I) holdings. Based on the wording of the email, I’d call it a “warning,” … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, EE Bonds, I Bond, Savings Bond, Treasury Bills, TreasuryDirect
54 Comments
September inflation report sets I Bond variable rate at 3.12%; Social Security COLA will be 2.8%
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Welcome to the most important (and most delayed) inflation report of the year: For September, seasonally adjusted U.S. inflation increased 0.3% and the annual rate ticked up from 2.9% to 3.0%, the beleaguered Bureau of Labor … Continue reading
I Bond fixed rate projection just fell to 0.90%
Oct. 24 update: September inflation report sets I Bond variable rate at 3.12% By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It was inevitable that the trend of lower 5-year real yields would eventually push my I Bond fixed rate protection to 0.90%, down … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond, Social Security, Treasury Bills
Tagged investing, personal-finance, The Treasury
40 Comments
The sad fact is government issued numbers are suspect, shutdown or not. The director of the U.S. Census Bureau and…