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Recent Posts
- 5-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.433% to solid demand
- U.S. annual inflation falls to 2.7% for November, a surprising drop
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction still looks solid
- The bond market isn’t buying the Fed’s rate cuts
- Morningstar says VTIP is having a ‘lousy’ year. It’s not true.
- Car-buying in the age of tariffs
- ‘Synthetic’ calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October
- Bad news: Medicare costs for 2026 are surging at triple the rate of inflation
- ‘Bond King’ has a dire view of long-term Treasurys
- 10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.843% to lukewarm demand
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Hmm, so if one was convinced these numbers will have a future correction upward, undoing the TIPS principal balance drop…
Because of the government shutdown, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) didn't have new data, so they just "carried forward"…
The data is a mess. And may God help the people who make it right.
Healthcare is one of the biggest drivers of inflation. The fact that it is excluded from CPI just shows why…
Categories
Category Archives: Treasury Bills
The U.S. T-bill market is feeling the debt pinch
A looming debt-limit crisis is causing yield anomalies. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com In looking over this week’s auctions of Treasury bills, I noticed something unusual, but also predictable: The looming debt-limit crisis is beginning to send tremors through the short-term … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, Treasury Bills, TreasuryDirect
Tagged debt limit, economy, finance, investing, personal-finance, stocks, The Treasury
16 Comments
What happened while I was gone? Good things!
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Long-time readers of this site know when I go on holiday, bad things happen. There’s consistently a debt crisis overload, a banking crisis, housing collapse, Fed reversals, lavish tariff announcements and roll-backs, etc. I’ve been touring … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Treasury Bills
Tagged economy, finance, investing, personal-finance, stocks, Treasury investments
36 Comments
Welcome to the I Bond ‘buying season’
Buy in April to lock in the 1.2% fixed rate? Or buy in May to start with a higher composite rate? April 30 update: I Bond gets a new fixed rate of 1.10%, composite rate of 3.98% By David Enna, Tipswatch.com … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Retirement, Savings Bond, Treasury Bills, TreasuryDirect
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, investing, personal-finance, The Treasury
56 Comments
Howard Marks: The world economy has been shaken ‘like a snow globe’
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com What a week. I made a point to watch President Trump’s tariff announcement on Wednesday live and yes, it was a shock. Beyond the politics, I felt the United States was pushing the world into a … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Tariffs, Treasury Bills
65 Comments
TreasuryDirect tax forms: How to find the 1099s, decipher them
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com If you are an account holder at TreasuryDirect, one of your “duties” each January is to go on a hunt for your 1099s, the extremely important (and ruthlessly obtuse) tax forms the Treasury hides away deep … Continue reading
Posted in EE Bonds, I Bond, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, Taxes, Treasury Bills, TreasuryDirect
45 Comments
David, with all due respect, facts are better, e.g "but not massive." Really! Don't have to be a political appointee...look…