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Recent Posts
- 5-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.433% to solid demand
- U.S. annual inflation falls to 2.7% for November, a surprising drop
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction still looks solid
- The bond market isn’t buying the Fed’s rate cuts
- Morningstar says VTIP is having a ‘lousy’ year. It’s not true.
- Car-buying in the age of tariffs
- ‘Synthetic’ calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October
- Bad news: Medicare costs for 2026 are surging at triple the rate of inflation
- ‘Bond King’ has a dire view of long-term Treasurys
- 10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.843% to lukewarm demand
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Hmm, so if one was convinced these numbers will have a future correction upward, undoing the TIPS principal balance drop…
Because of the government shutdown, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) didn't have new data, so they just "carried forward"…
The data is a mess. And may God help the people who make it right.
Healthcare is one of the biggest drivers of inflation. The fact that it is excluded from CPI just shows why…
Categories
Category Archives: Treasury Bills
For me, this week’s 10-year TIPS auction is a ‘must buy’
Others may want to wait and watch for higher real yields. Jan. 23 update: New 10-year TIPS gets real yield of 2.243%, highest for this term in 16 years By David Enna, Tipswatch.com I picked up the December issue of Kiplinger … Continue reading
2024: An inflation-watcher’s year in review
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com This year 2024 brought many surprises. For example: The year 2025 is bringing uncertainty. I would not be surprised to see a fairly large sell-off in stock prices early in the year, with investors eager to … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, Treasury Bills, TreasuryDirect
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, interest-rates, investing, personal-finance
33 Comments
Could the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6% in 2025?
It is a possibility, says a T.Rowe Price analyst. We haven’t seen that level in 25 years. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The chief investment officer at T.Rowe Price is making a bold prediction: Yields on the 10-year Treasury note could … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Treasury Bills
Tagged economy, finance, interest-rates, personal-finance, Treasury investments
32 Comments
Real yields seem to have crested the peak. What’s next?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It’s been an interesting month for financial investments of all types, as markets adapt to the launch of a second Donald Trump administration. Interesting, and very profitable for some speculative investors. Some examples: Some of these … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Treasury Bills
Tagged bonds, economy, inflation, investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
14 Comments
The one key rule for using TreasuryDirect …
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com TreasuryDirect gets a lot of bad press, mostly deserved, for presenting a clunky website with a bureaucratic mess of rules and usually lousy customer service. I’ve been using TreasuryDirect services for at least 32 years, even … Continue reading
David, with all due respect, facts are better, e.g "but not massive." Really! Don't have to be a political appointee...look…