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Recent Posts
- 5-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.433% to solid demand
- U.S. annual inflation falls to 2.7% for November, a surprising drop
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction still looks solid
- The bond market isn’t buying the Fed’s rate cuts
- Morningstar says VTIP is having a ‘lousy’ year. It’s not true.
- Car-buying in the age of tariffs
- ‘Synthetic’ calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October
- Bad news: Medicare costs for 2026 are surging at triple the rate of inflation
- ‘Bond King’ has a dire view of long-term Treasurys
- 10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.843% to lukewarm demand
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
David, with all due respect, facts are better, e.g "but not massive." Really! Don't have to be a political appointee...look…
Hmm, so if one was convinced these numbers will have a future correction upward, undoing the TIPS principal balance drop…
Because of the government shutdown, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) didn't have new data, so they just "carried forward"…
The data is a mess. And may God help the people who make it right.
Categories
Category Archives: Treasury Bills
Investing for safety: The era of 5% yields is ending
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com We knew this day would come, after enjoying 5% nominal yields on very safe investments for more than a year. But that era ended Wednesday when the Federal Reserve cut its federal funds rate by 50 … Continue reading
Where is the I Bond’s composite rate heading in November?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com We are halfway through the I Bond’s interest-rate-setting period, with the next reset coming on Nov. 1 — or more probably on Halloween Day, Oct. 31. On that day, the U.S. Treasury will announce both a … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, Treasury Bills, TreasuryDirect
Tagged bonds, inflation, investing, personal-finance
33 Comments
Let’s look at the two TIPS maturing in January 2025
Are they a steal? Not really. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Recently, I have been getting questions and comments about the two Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities maturing on January 15, 2025. These are quoted on the secondary market as having eye-popping real … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Treasury Bills
Tagged bonds, inflation, investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
7 Comments
Let’s weigh in on the I Bonds vs. T-bills debate
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Last week I was being interviewed by CNBC’s Kate Dore about I Bond investment strategies, and I found myself asking her a question: “Do you think the Federal Reserve has learned a lesson?” In other words, … Continue reading
TreasuryDirect 1099s: How to find tax forms, decipher them
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com One of the “interesting” challenges in dealing with the U.S. government’s TreasuryDirect website comes each January, when you might — or might not — need to go in search of federal tax forms. If you had … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Investing in TIPS, Taxes, Treasury Bills, TreasuryDirect
21 Comments
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/18/trust-these-numbers-economists-see-a-lot-of-flaws-in-delayed-cpi-report-showing-downward-inflation.html "The BLS might have carried forward prices in some categories, effectively assuming 0% inflation...” So the shutdown was just…