The problem for the BLS is that it needs to IMMEDIATELY reinforce its credibility, as investors fear manipulation. This inflation…
Good point. I will also mention that the Trump tax cuts were also written with the intention of expiring this…
Healthcare is included in the CPI but not health insurance premiums. And the ACA subsidies aka Premium Tax Credits that…
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/18/trust-these-numbers-economists-see-a-lot-of-flaws-in-delayed-cpi-report-showing-downward-inflation.html "The BLS might have carried forward prices in some categories, effectively assuming 0% inflation...” So the shutdown was just…
Category Archives: Treasury Bills
Here are results of my short-term TIPS experiment
Did it work out well? Yes. But is it worth the risks? By David Enna, Tipswatch.com For a few years now, I’ve been getting questions about seemingly lavish high real yields on Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities that are nearing maturity. My … Continue reading
A 10-year TIPS matured Jan. 15. How did it do as an investment?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Back on Jan. 23, 2014, the Treasury auctioned a new 10-year TIPS, CUSIP 912828B25, generating a real yield to maturity of 0.661% and a coupon rate of 0.625%. That doesn’t seem exciting, but at the time … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Treasury Bills
8 Comments
I Bond buying guide for 2024: Be patient
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Updated analysis … I Bond dilemma: Buy in April, in May, or not at all? If you are a longer-term investor looking for ultimate safety and protection from inflation, you are going to want to buy U.S. … Continue reading
2023: A good year for fighting inflation
For investors seeking safety and inflation protection, volatility brought strong opportunities. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com All things considered (financially speaking, that is) 2023 was a pretty good year. Maybe even very good. The U.S. inflation rate dropped from 6.4% in … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, Treasury Bills
79 Comments
Federal Reserve launches a ‘sea change’ of uncertainty
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com We’ve entered a new era. That’s what Bloomberg’s ever-thoughtful Tom Keene repeated over and over in Wednesday’s coverage of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate forecasts. “This is a sea change,” he said. “I have to emphasize … Continue reading
Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities 
At Vanguard, the eventual confirmation statement will show the real yield to maturity, but not the executed trade screen. My…