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Recent Posts
- 5-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.433% to solid demand
- U.S. annual inflation falls to 2.7% for November, a surprising drop
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction still looks solid
- The bond market isn’t buying the Fed’s rate cuts
- Morningstar says VTIP is having a ‘lousy’ year. It’s not true.
- Car-buying in the age of tariffs
- ‘Synthetic’ calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October
- Bad news: Medicare costs for 2026 are surging at triple the rate of inflation
- ‘Bond King’ has a dire view of long-term Treasurys
- 10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.843% to lukewarm demand
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Hmm, so if one was convinced these numbers will have a future correction upward, undoing the TIPS principal balance drop…
Because of the government shutdown, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) didn't have new data, so they just "carried forward"…
The data is a mess. And may God help the people who make it right.
Healthcare is one of the biggest drivers of inflation. The fact that it is excluded from CPI just shows why…
Categories
Tag Archives: The Treasury
Nov. 13, 2025: The Inflation Day that wasn’t
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com I am writing this from a hotel room in Kyoto, Japan, 14 hours ahead of Eastern Standard Time. Today is Friday. I believe it is also Friday (but very early) in the United States. After 43 … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged economy, inflation, The Treasury, Treasury investments
11 Comments
I Bond fixed rate projection just fell to 0.90%
Oct. 24 update: September inflation report sets I Bond variable rate at 3.12% By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It was inevitable that the trend of lower 5-year real yields would eventually push my I Bond fixed rate protection to 0.90%, down … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond, Social Security, Treasury Bills
Tagged investing, personal-finance, The Treasury
40 Comments
Vanguard launches VTP, a new full-range TIPS ETF
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Vanguard’s lineup of bond exchange-traded funds has long had a missing piece: An ETF that indexes the performance of the full spectrum of maturities for Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities. Vanguard’s only option was VTIP, its Short-Term Inflation-Protected … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged ETFs, investing, personal-finance, The Treasury, TIPS, Vanguard
20 Comments
The U.S. T-bill market is feeling the debt pinch
A looming debt-limit crisis is causing yield anomalies. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com In looking over this week’s auctions of Treasury bills, I noticed something unusual, but also predictable: The looming debt-limit crisis is beginning to send tremors through the short-term … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, Treasury Bills, TreasuryDirect
Tagged debt limit, economy, finance, investing, personal-finance, stocks, The Treasury
16 Comments
U.S. annual inflation ticked higher in May, but below expectations
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com U.S. inflation continued rising at a moderate rate in May, with all-items prices increasing only 0.1% on a seasonally adjusted basis, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The annual inflation rate for May increased to … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged inflation, investing, personal-finance, The Treasury
18 Comments
David, with all due respect, facts are better, e.g "but not massive." Really! Don't have to be a political appointee...look…