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Recent Posts
- 5-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.433% to solid demand
- U.S. annual inflation falls to 2.7% for November, a surprising drop
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction still looks solid
- The bond market isn’t buying the Fed’s rate cuts
- Morningstar says VTIP is having a ‘lousy’ year. It’s not true.
- Car-buying in the age of tariffs
- ‘Synthetic’ calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October
- Bad news: Medicare costs for 2026 are surging at triple the rate of inflation
- ‘Bond King’ has a dire view of long-term Treasurys
- 10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.843% to lukewarm demand
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Hmm, so if one was convinced these numbers will have a future correction upward, undoing the TIPS principal balance drop…
Because of the government shutdown, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) didn't have new data, so they just "carried forward"…
The data is a mess. And may God help the people who make it right.
Healthcare is one of the biggest drivers of inflation. The fact that it is excluded from CPI just shows why…
Categories
Tag Archives: The Treasury
Looking back on 40 days of financial chaos
And … see below for travel news. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Ever since Liberation Day on April 2, I’ve been watching financial markets in awe. At first, there were scary moments as the stock and bond markets roiled and American … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Tariffs
Tagged investing, personal-finance, The Treasury
16 Comments
Welcome to the I Bond ‘buying season’
Buy in April to lock in the 1.2% fixed rate? Or buy in May to start with a higher composite rate? April 30 update: I Bond gets a new fixed rate of 1.10%, composite rate of 3.98% By David Enna, Tipswatch.com … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Retirement, Savings Bond, Treasury Bills, TreasuryDirect
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, investing, personal-finance, The Treasury
56 Comments
My I Bond fixed-rate projection just fell to 1.10%
The benchmark 5-year real yield continues to fall. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com April 11, 2025, update: Welcome to the I Bond ‘buying season’ April 10, 2025, update: I Bond’s variable rate will rise to 2.86% on May 1 Amid all this week’s … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, investing, personal-finance, The Treasury
25 Comments
Today’s not-good-news: Treasury plans ‘substantial’ layoffs
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Court documents filed by a U.S. Treasury official indicate the department is planning a “substantial number” of layoffs, according to reporting from Bloomberg. The revelation came in court documents filed by Treasury to a federal judge … Continue reading
Posted in EE Bonds, I Bond, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged doge, news, politics, The Treasury, Treasury investments
55 Comments
Deciphering TreasuryDirect’s mysterious gift-box email
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Update, Jan 31, 2025: I noted in this article that I was going to make a “test” I Bond purchase in January 2025 to see if it would trigger a purchase limit because of gift box … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged personal-finance, The Treasury
85 Comments
David, with all due respect, facts are better, e.g "but not massive." Really! Don't have to be a political appointee...look…