It’s been a sorry year for buy-and-hold investors in Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, with yields plummeting to ever-lower all-time records. That means TIPS – like all Treasuries – are very expensive and produce little income. There are currently 35 TIPS issues trading on the secondary market, and 32 of those have negative-to-inflation yields. You have to go all the way out to an issue maturing in February 2040 to get a positive yield, 0.256% plus inflation.

The TIP ETF saw some volatility in prices but still had a 4.7% gain for the year. Click on image for larger view
On the other hand, TIPS traders and mutual fund holders have had a decent year. Even though the TIP ETF took a dip after the Federal Reserve announced QE4 this month, its net asset value is up about 4.7% for the year.
Just like last year, TIPS buyers found their best purchases early in the year, as TIPS yields declined steadily. Here’s a recap of the year’s auctions:
10 year TIPS, CUSIP 912828SA9
First auctioned: Jan. 19, 2012, with a yield-to-maturity of -0.046%. This was the first 10-year TIPS in history to auction with a negative yield, but the rate was expected to be lower just before the auction. So this one ended up being the best buy of the year.
Reissued: March 22, 2012, with a yield to maturity of -0.089%. Today, this still looks attractive.
Reissued: May 17, 2012, with a yield to maturity of -0.391%.
Hard to believe this issue currently trades at -0.841%, meaning the January buyers are sitting on a gain of more than 8%.
3o-year TIPS, CUSIP 912810QV3
First auctioned: Feb. 16, 2012, with a yield to maturity of 0.770%. I viewed this issue positively back in February, despite the long-term commitment. It actually went off at a discount to its 0.75% coupon rate (that’s a rarity in TIPS auctions these days).
Reissued: June 21, 2012, with a yield to maturity of 0.520%.
Reissued: October 18, 2012, with a yield to maturity of 0.479%. Each of these auctions set a record low for a 30-year TIPS.
Today this issue trades on a secondary market at 0.335%, meaning the original buyers are sitting on a capital gain of more than 10% for an issue they bought at a discount.
5-year TIPS, CUSIP 912828SQ4
First auctioned: April 14, 2012, with a yield to maturity of -1.080%. Although I have tried to warm up to short-term TIPS, I just can’t accept a yield more than 1% below inflation. Back in April, I issued a call to buy I Bonds instead, which was probably my wisest advice of the year.
Reissued: Aug. 23, 2012, with a yield to maturity of -1.286%.
Reissued: Dec. 20, 2012, with a yield to maturity of -1.496%. Each of these auctions set a record low for a 5-year TIPS.
This issue currently trades on the secondary market at -1.485%, about where it auctioned 10 days ago.
10-year TIPS, CUSIP 912828TE0
First auctioned: July 31, 2012, with a yield to maturity of -0.637%. By mid-year, TIPS yields were nearly hitting rock bottom. It’s significant that they have been pretty much holding at these very low levels for six months — despite the ‘fiscal cliff’ scare and the Fed’s commitment to QE4.
Reissued: Sept, 20, 2012, with a yield to maturity of -0.750%.
Reissued: Nov. 21, 2012, with a yield to maturity of -0.720%. This auction was a milestone because the TIPS yield didn’t set a record low — it’s been many months since that happened.
This issue currently trades on the secondary market at -0.787%, a bit lower but still pretty close to the original auction price.
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David, Thank you. My personal purpose for the chart I described is input for deciding which TIPS maturity to buy, if any.
Ed
Ed, I keep an Excel tally of my TIPS holdings and their current inflation-adjusted value (Treasury Direct doesn’t provide this, strangely enough). Since I am a buy-and-holder, I don’t really care about the current market value or even the current yield. I just want to know what my current principal balance is — updated twice a year.
Ed, that is the page I use for TIPS pricing. It should update early this evening, or you can get back to Dec. 31 with the historical data feature.
David, Thank you. Using yields from here
http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_3020-tips.html?mod=topnav_2_3021
I aim to make a chart of all TIPS yields vs. maturity date. I can do this manually, by cut and paste into an EXCEL spreadsheet … Any way easier …? Anybody do it already …?
Ed
David, For IRS purposes, EOY pricings of TIPS are available from the 12/31/2012 table here
http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_3020-tips.html?mod=topnav_2_3021
Any other/better source? Thanks..