Summary
- Bad news for holders of TIPS and I Bonds: Non-seasonally adjusted inflation fell 0.32% in December.
- Falling energy prices again accounted for almost all the decline in overall inflation.
- Core inflation remains moderate and steady at 2.2%.
The December inflation number is the third in a six-month string that will determine the I Bond’s new inflation-adjusted variable rate, which will be reset May 1. Three months in, we are looking at -0.48% inflation, which translates to a variable rate of -0.96%.
Read my full analysis on SeekingAlpha.com
Also, I have updated my Tracking Inflation and I Bonds page with the new numbers.
And here are the new February inflation indexes for all TIPS.
Real and nominal yields tend to move together, higher or lower. In the same direction, but not necessarily by the…