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Recent Posts
- 5-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.433% to solid demand
- U.S. annual inflation falls to 2.7% for November, a surprising drop
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction still looks solid
- The bond market isn’t buying the Fed’s rate cuts
- Morningstar says VTIP is having a ‘lousy’ year. It’s not true.
- Car-buying in the age of tariffs
- ‘Synthetic’ calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October
- Bad news: Medicare costs for 2026 are surging at triple the rate of inflation
- ‘Bond King’ has a dire view of long-term Treasurys
- 10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.843% to lukewarm demand
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
The problem for the BLS is that it needs to IMMEDIATELY reinforce its credibility, as investors fear manipulation. This inflation…
Good point. I will also mention that the Trump tax cuts were also written with the intention of expiring this…
Healthcare is included in the CPI but not health insurance premiums. And the ACA subsidies aka Premium Tax Credits that…
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/18/trust-these-numbers-economists-see-a-lot-of-flaws-in-delayed-cpi-report-showing-downward-inflation.html "The BLS might have carried forward prices in some categories, effectively assuming 0% inflation...” So the shutdown was just…
Categories
Category Archives: Cash alternatives
The Treasury market seems to be crumbling. Why?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Update, 2:15 pm April 9: Just about 12 hours after enforcing crippling tariffs on much of the world, President Trump changed course and announced a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs (above the new baseline 10%) on … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged economy, finance, investing, personal-finance, stocks, Treasury bonds, Treasury notes
43 Comments
A 5-year TIPS is maturing April 15. How did it do as an investment?
It had a real yield negative to inflation. And it was a winner. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com One of the basic rules of investing in Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities is: Get the highest possible real yield and ignore all the other … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
15 Comments
My I Bond fixed-rate projection just fell to 1.10%
The benchmark 5-year real yield continues to fall. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com April 11, 2025, update: Welcome to the I Bond ‘buying season’ April 10, 2025, update: I Bond’s variable rate will rise to 2.86% on May 1 Amid all this week’s … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, investing, personal-finance, The Treasury
25 Comments
The unique serenity of holding TIPS at TreasuryDirect
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Want to find your happy place? Sometimes you have to go your own way. The consensus advice is to buy individual Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities in a tax-deferred account, most likely a traditional IRA. These bonds pay … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement, Taxes, TreasuryDirect
36 Comments
TreasuryDirect is sending out a survey on the savings bond gift-box. Here are the details.
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com As I have noted many times in recent months, I believe there are changes coming in TreasuryDirect’s “gift box” program, which creates a loophole for buying I Bonds beyond the $10,000 per person annual limit for … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, EE Bonds, I Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged bonds, economy, finance, gifts, investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
35 Comments
At Vanguard, the eventual confirmation statement will show the real yield to maturity, but not the executed trade screen. My…