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Recent Posts
- A 5-year TIPS is maturing April 15. How did it do as an investment?
- I Bond’s fixed rate is likely to hold at 0.90% at May 1 reset
- War in Iran: Sliding toward a financial crisis
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 1.896%
- Chaos of war bolsters 10-year real yield heading into this week’s auction
- February inflation rose 0.3%, as expected. Is this our last ‘tame’ reading for awhile?
- Could Tipswatch.com be staffed by AI agents?
- Economist Claudia Sahm: U.S. economic statistics are not being manipulated
- 30-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.473%, second highest in 16 years
- For the right investor, this week’s 30-year TIPS auction will have appeal
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
I am definitely not a fan of purchasing TIPS with negative real yields. My goal is to get a safe…
I Bonds would definitely outperform inflation in an era of severe deflation. But the fixed rate would get wiped out,…
I-bonds would surely shine were the economy to collapse and a deflationary crisis hit.
I purchased the April 2026 TIPS at a very different time, sometime in 2024. The real yield to maturity was…
Categories
Category Archives: Inflation
Monthly U.S. inflation for 2022 just got revised … a bit
This has no effect on annual inflation or on earnings for TIPS and I Bonds. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com While I was searching Friday for consensus estimates on the January inflation report, to be released Tuesday, I noticed something odd. … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
10 Comments
Mystery solved: ‘Inflation Guy’ explains the upcoming CPI reweightings
Is this a conspiracy to make inflation look tamer? No. It’s a routine but important update. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Over the last few weeks, I’ve gotten questions about “surprise” price-index reweightings coming in the January inflation report about to … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation
10 Comments
Let’s take a look back at IVOL, a once-hot inflation-fighting ETF
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Back in the fall of 2020, when I was still writing for SeekingAlpha, I was getting a lot of questions about a new ETF with a tongue-twisting title: the Quadratic Interest Rate Volatility and Inflation Hedge … Continue reading
Posted in ETFs, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
8 Comments
A 10-year TIPS matured Sunday. How did it do as an investment?
Despite a real yield deeply negative to inflation, CUSIP 912828UH1 outperformed a nominal 10-year Treasury. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Sometimes what looks like a perfectly awful investment will end up surprising you. That is the case with CUSIP 912828UH1, a … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
5 Comments
The first 10-year TIPS of the ‘new era’ will auction Thursday. Interested?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It’s almost hard to believe, but this new age of higher interest rates is only about seven months old. A lot has changed in the last year. Back on Jan. 14, 2022, a 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS
57 Comments
Thanks for the detailed explanation. I believe you are saying the "breakeven inflation rate" should reflect the inflation expectation rather…