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Recent Posts
- A 5-year TIPS is maturing April 15. How did it do as an investment?
- I Bond’s fixed rate is likely to hold at 0.90% at May 1 reset
- War in Iran: Sliding toward a financial crisis
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 1.896%
- Chaos of war bolsters 10-year real yield heading into this week’s auction
- February inflation rose 0.3%, as expected. Is this our last ‘tame’ reading for awhile?
- Could Tipswatch.com be staffed by AI agents?
- Economist Claudia Sahm: U.S. economic statistics are not being manipulated
- 30-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.473%, second highest in 16 years
- For the right investor, this week’s 30-year TIPS auction will have appeal
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Most likely the TIPS will outperform the I Bond over 5 years, if held to maturity. The 5-year TIPS currently…
David, there is a 5-year TIPS coming up April 23 that I assume you will be writing about. Could you…
Thanks for the detailed explanation. I believe you are saying the "breakeven inflation rate" should reflect the inflation expectation rather…
I am definitely not a fan of purchasing TIPS with negative real yields. My goal is to get a safe…
Categories
Category Archives: Inflation
Is the Federal Reserve really tightening? So far, not so much.
Quantitative tightening will have to ramp up in coming months if the Fed wants to bring U.S. inflation down. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The basic monetary rule of the last two decades has been this: When the economy slips lower … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation
25 Comments
A Greek-Italian restaurant can tell you a lot about real world inflation
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Editor’s note: This is an updated version of an article I first wrote in 2017 and revised in 2021. There’s a restaurant in my hometown – Charlotte, N.C. – that has been in business continuously at … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation
17 Comments
June inflation hits new highs: 1.3% for the month, 9.1% year over year
Annual inflation is now running at the hottest pace since 1981. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Have we hit peak inflation yet? The answer is: we don’t know, because the June inflation report showed inflation surging ever higher, greatly exceeding already … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Social Security
42 Comments
A 10-year TIPS is maturing Friday. How did it do as an investment?
Despite a real yield deeply negative to inflation, CUSIP 912828TE0 out-performed a nominal 10-year Treasury. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Back on July 19, 2012, the U.S. Treasury auctioned a new 10-year TIPS, CUSIP 912828TE0, with a rather dire result: The … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS
7 Comments
5-year TIPS reopening auction gets a real yield of 0.362%, breaking a string of negative yields
By David Enna,Tipswatch.com Am I a bit disappointed? Sure, but … I’ll take it: This was the first 4- to 5-year TIPS auction to get a positive real yield since December 2019, breaking a string of nine consecutive auctions of … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS
19 Comments
Dongchen, I always say that the inflation breakeven rate reflects sentiment but is a fairly lousy predictor of future inflation.…