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Recent Posts
- A 5-year TIPS is maturing April 15. How did it do as an investment?
- I Bond’s fixed rate is likely to hold at 0.90% at May 1 reset
- War in Iran: Sliding toward a financial crisis
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 1.896%
- Chaos of war bolsters 10-year real yield heading into this week’s auction
- February inflation rose 0.3%, as expected. Is this our last ‘tame’ reading for awhile?
- Could Tipswatch.com be staffed by AI agents?
- Economist Claudia Sahm: U.S. economic statistics are not being manipulated
- 30-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.473%, second highest in 16 years
- For the right investor, this week’s 30-year TIPS auction will have appeal
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Most likely the TIPS will outperform the I Bond over 5 years, if held to maturity. The 5-year TIPS currently…
David, there is a 5-year TIPS coming up April 23 that I assume you will be writing about. Could you…
Thanks for the detailed explanation. I believe you are saying the "breakeven inflation rate" should reflect the inflation expectation rather…
I am definitely not a fan of purchasing TIPS with negative real yields. My goal is to get a safe…
Categories
Category Archives: Inflation
Here’s what a Greek-Italian restaurant can teach you about inflation
One thing for certain: Chicken livers are a bargain in 2021 By David Enna, Tipswatch.com There’s a restaurant in my hometown – Charlotte, N.C. – that has been in business continuously at the same location on West Morehead Street since … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation
6 Comments
July inflation: What it means for TIPS, I Bonds and Social Security COLA
All-items inflation for July came in at 0.5% and 5.4% for the year. The Social Security COLA is still on track for about a 6% increase. I Bonds could get a variable rate of 6% (or higher) for six months. … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement, Social Security
7 Comments
A 10-year TIPS matured in July. How did it do as an investment?
Not so well, it turns out, slammed by a decade of lower-than-expected inflation. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Today we will take a look at CUSIP 912828QV5, a 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security that originated on July 15, 2011, with a real … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS
5 Comments
U.S. inflation surges 0.9% in June, nearly double expectations
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com U.S. inflation surged 0.9% in June, much higher than expectations. It was the fifth month in a row that actual inflation far exceeded consensus estimates. My conclusion: Economists really have no idea where inflation is heading. … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement, Social Security
8 Comments
When the Fed begins tapering, what will happen to TIPS?
‘Talking about talking about’ is a signal that real yields could be rising By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Jerome Powell, chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve, made some significant statements last week with the potential to shake up both the stock … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS
9 Comments
Dongchen, I always say that the inflation breakeven rate reflects sentiment but is a fairly lousy predictor of future inflation.…