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Recent Posts
- 5-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.433% to solid demand
- U.S. annual inflation falls to 2.7% for November, a surprising drop
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction still looks solid
- The bond market isn’t buying the Fed’s rate cuts
- Morningstar says VTIP is having a ‘lousy’ year. It’s not true.
- Car-buying in the age of tariffs
- ‘Synthetic’ calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October
- Bad news: Medicare costs for 2026 are surging at triple the rate of inflation
- ‘Bond King’ has a dire view of long-term Treasurys
- 10-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 1.843% to lukewarm demand
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
David, with all due respect, facts are better, e.g "but not massive." Really! Don't have to be a political appointee...look…
Hmm, so if one was convinced these numbers will have a future correction upward, undoing the TIPS principal balance drop…
Because of the government shutdown, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) didn't have new data, so they just "carried forward"…
The data is a mess. And may God help the people who make it right.
Categories
Category Archives: Investing in TIPS
30-year TIPS auction could snag highest real yield in nearly 24 years
Aug. 21 update: 30-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.650% By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The U.S. Treasury on Thursday will offer $8 billion in a reopening auction of CUSIP 912810UH9, a 30-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security. The auction, which will … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
Tagged investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
22 Comments
A historical look at political influence over the BLS
The BLS over time: ‘A tin can tied to my coat tail‘ This article is republished by permission of the authors. By Philippa Dunne & Doug Henwood / TLR Analytics We have worked closely with the Bureau of Labor Statistics … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Tariffs
Tagged BLS, Employment
17 Comments
U.S. annual inflation held steady in July at 2.7%, better than expected
Core inflation, however, rose to 3.1% annually despite moderating shelter costs. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The July inflation report offered a mixed bag of results. Seasonally adjusted all-items inflation increased 0.2% for the month, as expected, and held steady at … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Tariffs
Tagged interest-rates, personal-finance
27 Comments
TIPS investors face a ‘sky is falling’ moment
Can U.S. economic data be trusted? By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Bloomberg carried an article last week with a stunning headline: “Distrust In US Inflation Data Threatens $2 Trillion Market.” The premise was that the $2 trillion market in Treasury Inflation-Protected … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond
Tagged BLS, investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
56 Comments
Treasury reaffirms its commitment to TIPS
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com For quite awhile, when I am writing about originating auctions for 5- and 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, I note “this new auction is the largest in history for this term.” It has been happening every year … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Treasury Bills
Tagged bonds, investing, personal-finance, Treasury investments
31 Comments
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/18/trust-these-numbers-economists-see-a-lot-of-flaws-in-delayed-cpi-report-showing-downward-inflation.html "The BLS might have carried forward prices in some categories, effectively assuming 0% inflation...” So the shutdown was just…