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Recent Posts
- Inflation moves higher in October, but annual numbers are missing
- Deflation could be coming (and don’t be surprised)
- My schedule … and what’s coming next
- Treasury sets I Bond’s fixed rate at 1.40%; composite rate rises to 5.51%
- A historically awful 5-year TIPS matured Oct. 15. How did it do as an investment?
- The I Bond’s new fixed rate should be 1.40%. However …
- 5-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.367% on a strong day for Treasurys
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction may be the ‘ultimate’ conservative investment
- September inflation sets I Bond variable rate at 4.08%; Social Security COLA will be 3.6%
- ‘TIPS are for losers’ … Really?
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
[…] Tipswatch, Synthetic calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October (Nov. 26, 2025) […]
Yes, it's certainly going to be interesting. It's unlikely for the May rate to be under 1.20%.The most likely things…
There is an excellent chance when the I-Bond resets in May that we are going to get a fixed rate…
And enjoy the trip!!!
Categories
Category Archives: Social Security
Forecasting Social Security’s 2027 COLA: My guess is 3.6%
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Each July, since 2017, I have been forecasting the next year’s Social Security cost-of-living adjustment. Over the years, I have learned one thing: It’s important to be humble. This is a nearly impossible task, combining an … Continue reading
Bad news: Medicare costs for 2026 are surging at triple the rate of inflation
Part B costs, deductibles and IRMAA surcharges will all increase at least 9.7% next year. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It was bad enough when we learned on Oct. 24 that Social Security benefits would increase 2.8% for beneficiaries in 2026, … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Medicare, Retirement, Social Security, Taxes
Tagged health-insurance, healthcare, insurance, Medicare, Retirement
32 Comments
September inflation report sets I Bond variable rate at 3.12%; Social Security COLA will be 2.8%
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Welcome to the most important (and most delayed) inflation report of the year: For September, seasonally adjusted U.S. inflation increased 0.3% and the annual rate ticked up from 2.9% to 3.0%, the beleaguered Bureau of Labor … Continue reading
I Bond fixed rate projection just fell to 0.90%
Oct. 24 update: September inflation report sets I Bond variable rate at 3.12% By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It was inevitable that the trend of lower 5-year real yields would eventually push my I Bond fixed rate protection to 0.90%, down … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond, Social Security, Treasury Bills
Tagged investing, personal-finance, The Treasury
40 Comments
As government shuts down, Trump jettisons his choice to lead BLS
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It’s Day One of the U.S. government shutdown, and the crucially important, non-partisan Bureau of Labor Statistics now has one working employee: acting commissioner William Wiatrowski. The other 2,054 employees have been (or will soon be) … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Retirement, Social Security, Taxes
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, politics
54 Comments
The missing month of CPI due to the shutdown has come back to haunt, indeed. Figures that are indexed for…